Ko Operation Spiderweb inoshandura nzira yehondo yeUkraine?

Ian Fleming, mugadziri wekunyepedzera weBritish Secret Service agent, James Bond, anozivikanwawo nezita rekodhi 007, angadai akadada nechirongwa chakatorwa nemauto eUkraine (AFU) ndokuzobudirira kuita pasina kurova. Ehe, ndiri kutaura nezve AFU yakaoma yepamusoro-chakavanzika kurwisa kurwisa, kodhi-inonzi Operation Spiderweb. Oparesheni iyi yakarongwa muchivande zvekuti kana US yakachengetwa murima, anonyora Vidya S. Sharma, Ph. D.

Zvakakosha kuyeuka kuti US ndiyo mupi mukuru werubatsiro rwemari kuUkraine pamwe chete nemupi akakosha wemarudzi ese ezvombo masisitimu, zvombo, uye chaiyo-nguva yehondo huchenjeri kunhandare yehondo yeAFU hungwaru kuAFU (ndapota ona girafu riri pamusoro).

Sekureva kweGerman Kiel Institute yeWorld Economy, kubvira 2022 iyo US. akabatsira kumativi $130 bhiriyoni kuti Ukraine. Pane iyi, $74 bhiriyoni yaive muchimiro chemidziyo yehondo.

The Operation Spiderweb., inotungamirwa neMutungamiri weUkraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy, yakananga nhandare ina dzendege mazana emakiromita kubva Ukraine-Russia muganho wakadzika mukati meRussia. Kuvhiya kwacho kwaisanganisira kumisa kure kure mazana emamini-drones akatangwa kubva pamatenga emarori emidziyo inopinzwa zvisiri pamutemo. Kuvhiya uku kwakakonzera kuparadzwa kana kukuvadzwa kwendege dzinoverengeka dzinobhomba, dzinokwanisa kutakura zvombo zvenyukireya.

Muchinyorwa chino, kunze kwekuongorora kuti Operation Spiderweb inogona kunge yakaita sei simba reRussia kurwisa Ukraine, ndinoshuva kuongorora: (a) kuti hondo iri kuenda sei kubva kuUkraine maonero, (b) sei, mushure memakore matatu vachirwa, maUkraine anonzwa nezvehondo, (c) ndeye Operation Spiderweb (chero mashandiro akadaro emangwana) anozoshandura mhedzisiro yehondo, uye kuguma kwehondo yeUkraine.

Ngatitangei takurukura kuti hondo iri kuenda sei kuUkraine muzhinji uye mafungiro evaUkraine vakananga kuhondo kuitira kuti kukosha kweOperation Spiderweb kuongororwe zvizere.

KUENDA SEI HONDO KUUKRAINE

Kukadzi 24 gore rino raive gore rechitatu rehondo yeUkraine-Russia.

Kubva pakakundikana zhizha counteroffensive (yakatangwa neUkraine muna 2023), kukurumidza kwave kuine divi rimwe chete: Russia.

Kunopera kwa2024, Russia yakadzora kutenderera 20% yenharaunda yeUkraine. Kubva ipapo, Russia yakadzinga AFU kubva munzvimbo yayo yeKursk (zvisinei nerubatsiro rwemauto eNorth Korea). Mauto eRussia ave kufambira mberi akananga kuguta rekuchamhembe reSumy, guta guru redunhu reSumy (Oblast). Mauto eRussia anoshuvira kugadzira buffer mudunhu reSumy: yaive kuburikidza nedunhu reSumy iyo AFU yakatanga kurwisa kutora chikamu chedunhu reKursk muRussia.

Kurwa kuri kuenderera mberi nehurefu hwese hwemuganhu weUkraine-Russia (anenge 1000 km kureba). Iro zano reRussia rinoita kunge rekumanikidza iyo AFU kuti iwedzere kutetepa nekuti Russia inoziva kuti iyo AFU iri kutambura nekutora uye matambudziko ekusiya. Nemamwe mashoko, tsika dzayo dzakaderera.

Svitlana Morenets, mutori wenhau wokuUkraine, munyaya yake ichangoburwa muThe Spectator (UK) akanyora kuti, “Nzvimbo yeRussia iri kuwedzera nevanobhadhara zvikuru makondirakiti uye nevatsva vekuNorth Korea vanosimbisa, ukuwo mauto eUkraine ari kupera nekukurumidza. vanhu vakasiya nyika havatarisike zvekuti muna Nyamavhuvhu, Ukraine yakadzika mutemo unoregerera varwi vakaenda kuAWOL kekutanga chero vakabvuma kudzoka. " Munhu akabatwa nemhosva muUkraine anogona kutarisira kupedza makore 90,000-10 mujeri.

The Associated Press mukupera kwaMbudzi gore rapfuura rakashuma, "Mayuniti ese akasiya zvigaro zvawo, zvichisiya mitsetse yekudzivirira iri panjodzi uye nekuchimbidza kurasikirwa kwenzvimbo."

Chas Newkey-Burden yeVhiki (UK) yakashuma muna Kukadzi 3, 2025, kuti "Vanosvika chiuru chevarwi vekuUkraine vari kutyirwa kuti vanyangarika panhovo vachidzidzira kuFrance."

Kunyorera kunyoresa kuAFU idambudziko rinototyisa. Iyo AFU inogara ichitadza kusvika padanho rayo repamwedzi rekutora vanhu. Nekune rimwe divi, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (yakavambwa neCIA) yakashuma kuti Kutora kweRussia kwapfuura zvinangwa zvayo mwedzi wega wega gore rino.

Konrad Muzyka, muongorori wemauto ekuUkraine anoshanda mumitambo yehondo, hungwaru hwakavhurika, kuburitsa kukakavara uye ari director wePoland-based Rochan Consulting, akataura kutanga kwemwedzi uno: "Chinhu chega chinochengeta mitsetse yeUkraine muchimiro izvozvi madrones, FPV drones (rudzi rwe drone inobvumira vatyairi kuti vaone chaizvo izvo pasina drone) zvakaipa kwazvo."

Mila Tanghe weWashington-based Center for European Policy Analysis, panenge panguva imwe cheteyo akanyora kuti, "Mauto eRussia ari kufambira mberi nekumhanya kwazvo gore rino, avhura nzvimbo itsva muSumy, akatora misha yakati wandei padyo nemuganhu, uye akaunganidza mauto anofungidzirwa 50,000 munharaunda yacho muchikamu kudzivirira Ukraine kubva pakuendesa mauto kuDonetsk." Tanghe anozviona senhanganyaya yekusundidzira kuenda kuDonbas (zita remubatanidzwa rematunhu ekumabvazuva eUkraine eDonetsk neLuhansk).

Konrad Muzyka anobvumirana neongororo yaTanghe. Sekureva kwake, "nzvimbo yeRussia yesimba rinokwevera zvinhu pasi inoramba iri muDonbas, nepo mashandiro ari pedyo neSumy achiitirwa kumanikidza Ukraine kutambanudza zviwanikwa zvayo zvishoma."

Jack Watling, mumwe mukuru wekutsvagira hondo yepasi kuRoyal United Services Institute (inozivikanwawo seChatham House) anewo maonero ekuti zhizha rino vanhu vekuRussia vachaedza kusimbisa kutonga kwavo. Kostyantynivka uye Pokrovsk (mataundi ari mudunhu reDonbas).

Vhiki rapera, The Washington Post yakashuma kuti “Mauto eRussia ari kurwisa maguta ari kumabvazuva kweUkraine uye ari kusunda kupinda munharaunda yeUkraine munguva yechirimo kuti atore simba munhandare yehondo uye kuveza nzvimbo dzinodzivirira kuti dzichengetedze nzvimbo dzagara dziri pasi pesimba rayo.”

Kubva svondo rapfuura, mauto eRussia aingova mamaira gumi nemaviri kubva kuSumy. Uye kubva kuguta reKherson, vaiva kiromita imwe chete kubva.

Russia's Defence Ministry inoti mauto ayo akatamira mukati kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweDnipropetrovsk, iyo isati yave nzvimbo yekurwa kwakawanda kusvika nhasi. Zvakakosha kucherechedza kuti haisi imwe yematunhu eUkraine anonzi neRussia. VaRussia vanopinda mukati Dnepropetrovsk zvakasimbiswa kwandiri nevamwe vandaizivana navo vanogara muDnepr (guta riri muDnepropetrovsk).

UKRAINE PASI PRESIDENT ZELENSKYY

Zelenskyy, munyarikani nebasa, akava purezidhendi weUkraine muna Chivabvu 2019. Akahwina chigaro chemutungamiri kwete nekuda kwechiono chake cheUkraine kana chero hunhu hwakatanhamara / hunhu / hunyanzvi hwaakaratidza muhupenyu hwake hwega kana chero chinyorwa chinoshamisa chezvakanaka zvevanhu. Akakunda sarudzo nekuti vavhoti vakadyiswa nekleptocracy yakasimbiswa uye nehuwori vezvematongerwo enyika kumativi ese enzira.

Mutungamiri Zelenskyy ndiye mukomana weposter wekuMadokero uye anonamatwa nevezvenhau vekuMadokero; anoratidzwa semutongi wechokwadi anorwa nemudzvanyiriri ane hutsinye akatsunga kumedza nyika yake.

Kusiyana naVladimir Putin muRussia, Zelenskyy akatanga kutonga musarudzo dzakachena uye dzakasununguka. Vavengi vake vanongoerekana vadonha kubva pahwindo reimba yenhurikidzwa yechishanu. Vanhu vekuUkraine vakavhotera Zelenskyy nekuti aive munhu wekunze, uye vavhoti, kunyanya vavhoti vechidiki, vakamutenda paakataura kuti achabvisa huwori uye kuita kuti Ukraine ive nyika isina munhu aive pamusoro pemutemo.

Asi chokwadi chekurarama pasi pekutonga kweZelenskyy chakasiyana zvikuru.

National Public Radio (NPR) isangano rakazvimirira, risingabatsiri nhepfenyuro yeruzhinji Washington (DC)-yakavakirwa, inoshanda semubatanidzwa kune network yenyika inosanganisira nhepfenyuro dzeveruzhinji dzinopfuura chiuru muUS. Gore rapfuura muna Chikunguru, NPR yakamhanyisa chimiro chinotsanangura maitiro eZelenskyy Administration akabatanidza nhepfenyuro dzenyika ndokuvaisa pasi pehutongi hwehurumende, vakadzipa manzwi mazhinji anopikisa, uye vakaparadza mapato ezvematongerwo enyika aikwikwidzana vachishandisa hondo neRussia sechikonzero.

Zelenskyy akaedza kuvhunga vanopikisa nekupomera vezvematongerwo enyika vanopikisa. Nhengo zhinji dzeVerkhovna Rada, paramende yeUkraine, kunyanya idzo dzemapato anopikisa, Holos uye European Solidarity (weaichimbova purezidhendi Petro Poroshenko), vakanyunyuta pachena kuti vakanyimwa mvumo nezviremera kuti vapinde muzviitiko zvepasi rose nemisangano zvavakanga vakokwa.

Utongi hwake nemauto edziviriro, kunyanya avo vanoona nezvekutenga zvinhu, vazere nevakuru vakuru/vakuru vane huori. Rega nditaure mimwe mienzaniso yakadaro.

Deutsche Welle Radio musi waNyamavhuvhu 17, 2023, yakashuma kuti Ukraine yakanga ichidzinga vatungamiriri vese vemauto edunhu mushure mekuferefeta kukuru. Musi waNdira 28, 2024, George Wright weBBC akatepfenyura nhau dzehuwori hukuru hwekutengwa kwezvombo muUkraine, uye kutanga kwegore rino muna Ndira 22, 2025, Laura Gozzi weBBC News akataura kuti mukuru wemauto epfungwa dzeUkraine akasungwa nemhosva yehuori yemadhora miriyoni. Musi wa1 Ndira, 9, Elena Teslova weAnkara-based Anadolu Agency akataura kuti Gurukota rezvekudzivirirwa kweUkraine R.ustem Umerov akanga afumura huwori hukuru mukati memauto eUkraine mauto.

Zelenskyy anotonga achishandisa masimba ehondo pasi pemutemo wemauto unodarika paramende. Kunyangwe akamisa nhepfenyuro dzese dzisiri dzehurumende asi nyaya dzehuwori dziri muhutongi hwake uye mauto ari kuramba achibuda.

Vatapi venhau vepamhepo vakazvimiririra vafumura mabatirwo ari kuita mamirioni emadhora nekupa zvitupa zvekunyepa zvekurapa madodges, mabatirwo ari kupihwa zvibvumirano zvehurumende zvekutenga zvinhu kune makurukota emakurukota makuru nevakuru vehurumende vari pedyo neZelenskyy.

MunaGunyana 2023, Gurukota rezvekudzivirirwa, Oleksiy Reznikov akadzingwa basa mwedzi mitanhatu mushure mekupinda kwake mukubhadhara kukuru kwechikafu nemidziyo yemauto kwakafumurwa.

Muna Mbudzi, 2024, mukuru wesangano rinotarisira kuvaka mabhankers ezviteshi zvemagetsi zveUkraine akasiya basa. Akapomera nhengo dzehurumende yeZelenskyy kuvharidzira kuburitswa kwemari kusvika chiokomuhomwe chikuru vakabhadharwa kare.

Mari yeruzhinji muUkraine yanga iri munzvimbo ine njodzi kubvira Orange Revolution (uye gare gare Maidan revolution) yaive. orchestrated uye inopihwa mari neUS nedzimwe nhengo dzeNATO. Hazvishamisi kuti mapurisa, vadzidzisi, vana chiremba, vanamukoti nevamwe vakuru vakuru vehurumende vabhadharwe mihoro yavo nemwedzi mitanhatu kana kudarika.

70 muzana yevaUkraine vanotenda kuti hurumende iri kuita purofiti kubva muhondo.

Gore rakapera muna Zvita, Mutariri (UK) yakataura kuti hurumende yaZelenskyy yakasungirirwa mari yakanga yamira kubhadhara mabhenefiti kumamirioni evakatiza vemukati kubva kumabvazuva kwakagarwa neRussia. Somugumisiro, “zviuru zvakavhota netsoka dzazvo ndokudzokera kumisha yazvo, vazhinji vavo vachifamba vachipfuura nomuMoscow nemhaka yokuti miganhu yenyika yakanga yakavharwa.” Vapoteri vanenge 150,000 XNUMX vakaenda, sezviri pachena vachisarudza kutonga kweRussia pane urombo nokudzingwa muUkraine.”

Achitora mashoko Petr Andriushchenko, chipangamazano kune aimbova meya weKyiv, The Spectator (UK) yakashumawo kuti chikamu chimwe muzvitatu chevagari veRussia-yakagarwa Mariupol vakadzokera kumba. Yakataura kuti "Nzvimbo zhinji dzeUkraine 'hadzina hushamwari kune vanhu vakadzingwa mukati', akadaro Andriushchenko - kunyanya sezvo vapoteri vanobva kumabvazuva vari kutaura chiRussian zvakanyanya, chimwe chinhu chiri kuramba chisingabvumirwe munzvimbo zhinji dzekumadokero kwenyika."

The UN's Global Data Institute's Displacement Tracing Matrix yakawanawo kuti, "Sezvo dambudziko rekutamiswa richiramba richiwedzera, hukama pakati pevakadzingwa nevagari venharaunda ndidzo dzinonyanya kukonzera kusawirirana kwevanhu." Pakati pevaIDP vakashuma kusawirirana kwevanhu munzvimbo dzavari, rusarura kana zviitiko zveIDPs ndicho chikonzero chinowanzoshumwa (43%). Kusiyana neizvi, 30 muzana yeavo vari munharaunda yeIappro vakataura kusawirirana kunokonzera hunhu hweDP."

Kumanikidzwa kupinda muchiuto kuri kukonzera kutsamwa kuhurumende yaZelenskyy. Maererano ne Owen Matthews yeThe Spectator (UK), “Kuperevedza kukuru kwevashandi vemauto kumberi kwakaita kuti varwi veUkraine vatore matanho echisimba zvikuru kuti vabate vangangove varwi.

Kuzivikanwa kwaZelenskyy kunogona kunge kusiri kwakaderera se4% sezvazvaive zvakataurwa naTrump. Chine chokwadi ndechekuti, nekuda kwezvikonzero zvataurwa pamusoro apa, ari kuramba achinyanya kusadiwa.

Ongororo yakaitwa ne Social Monitoring Center muKyiv mukupera kwaNovember gore rapfuura, akawana kuti 16% chete yevakapindura vaizomuvhotera kana akamira zvakare. Nhamba imwechete yeGeneral Valerii Zaluzhniy (yakadzingwa naZelenskyy munaFebruary, 2025) yaiva 27%. Vanoda kusvika 60% yevakapindura vangada kana asina kumira zvachose.

MAKORE MATATU PANE CHII CHINHU CHEMAUKRAINIANS

Mumakore matatu apfuura, ongororo dzakawanda dzakaitwa kuratidza mafungiro evaUkraine nezve Hondo yeUkraine-Russia. Zvose nemasangano mukati meUkraine uye nemasangano ari kuMadokero. Mimwe mibairo yeongororo inobva pane minuscule sample.

Musi waJune 10, 2010, Iyo Kyiv Independent yakabudisa ongororo yakaitwa parunhare neKyiv International Institute of Sociology. Saizi yemuenzaniso yaive 2,004 vagari vakuru. Havasi vese vakapindura vakapindura mibvunzo 4 yese. Zvakangodaro, zvakaona kuti 48% yevaUkraine vanopokana nekubvumwa kwekutonga kweRussia kwenzvimbo dzakatorwa dzeUkraine kuti vawane runyararo, ukuwo 43% vakati vangade kusiya nyika kuti vasvike pachibvumirano cherunyararo neRussia.

Paakabvunzwa kana Ukraine inofanira kusiya nharaunda kuti iwane rugare - pasina kutsanangura chimiro chekugara kweRussia - 52% vakati Ukraine haifaniri kutora danho pasi pe "chero mamiriro ezvinhu." Mukuenzanisa, 38% yevakapindura vakatsigira kubvumirana.

Idzi dzaive nhamba dzakafanana neKIIS yakawanikwa muna Zvita 2024, apo 51% yaipokana nemvumo, nepo 38% yakavhurika kwairi.

Imwe ongororo, yakabudiswa mavhiki mashoma apfuura neThe Kyiv Independent muna Chivabvu 8, 2025 uye yakaitwa pamwe chete Razumkov Center, Kyiv-based public policy think tank, uye Kyiv Security Forum vakawana kuti 56.9% yevakapindura vaisazoda kukanganisa pane chero nharaunda.

Nekudaro, kuti titende mhedzisiro iri pamusoro uye kuona kuti maitiro evaUkraine kuhondo uye ceding kutonga kwenzvimbo yakarasika kuRussia akachinja sei, isu tinofanirwa kuisa nhamba idzi munhoroondo.

Neraki, data rakadaro rinowanikwa kwatiri kuburikidza ne UK-yakavakirwa bazi reThe Gallup World Poll. Muongororo yakaitwa muna Nyamavhuvhu naGumiguru 2024, yakawana kuti vangangoita makumi mashanu neshanu muzana vevaUkraine vanoda kuona nyika yavo ichitaurirana kupera kwehondo nekukurumidza. Nepo 52% vekuUkraine vaida kurwa kusvika vakunda.

Izvi zvinomiririra shanduko yakakosha, sekutanga kwehondo muna Kukadzi 2022, vangangove vese vekuUkraine vaishora uye vaida kurwa kusvika vakunda. Kubva muhurukuro dzangu nevazhinji vechidiki vekuUkraine, ndinoziva kuti vaitarisira kuti mauto eNATO auye kuzovanunura mumazuva mashoma.

Sekureva kweGallup Poll, "Kuneta kwakawedzera gore rino, nerutsigiro rwerunyararo rwenhaurirano ruchikwira kusvika pa52%, kekutanga rwasvika ruzhinji."

Kubva pazuva rekutanga, Mutungamiri Zelenskyy "chirongwa chekukunda" chave kuda kuti Ukraine ipihwe nhengo yeNATO (kuitira kuti Ukraine ikwanise kukumbira Chinyorwa 5 chechibvumirano), uye igopihwa zvombo zvekuMadokero zvenguva refu kuti zvirove zvinangwa mukati meRussia.

Nepo nyika dzeNATO, kunyanya nhengo dzakaomarara (semuenzaniso, nyika nhatu dzeBalkan, Poland, The UK, France, nezvimwewo) neBiden Administration vaive nechido kukurudzira Ukraine kurwisa neRussia, kupa rubatsiro rwemari, hurongwa hwezvombo zvazvino, zvombo, kudzidziswa kwevashandi vezvokudzivirira vekuUkraine, hungwaru hwenguva chaiyo, kuisa zvirango zvehupfumi vachipokana neRussia, kuisa danho rezvematongerwo enyika kuparadzanisa Russia neInternational Court, muWestern Court kudzora masangano epasirese. Hague), tarisira vapoteri, nezvimwewo, zvakadaro vaive vasina kugadzirira kurega Ukraine ichibatana neNATO nekuti zvaizoreva kupinza nyika dzavo muhondo neRussia. Kune nhengo dzeNATO, wakanga uri mukana wakatumirwa nedenga kurwisana neRussia (inofanira kuyeukwa kuti NATO yakasikwa nechinangwa chega chekurwisana neU.SR / Russia) nekuisa pfuti pamapfudzi eUkraine. Kutaura pachena, NATO yakatarisa kuUkraine senyika ine mercenary kana proxy yayo.

Kunyange zvazvo hondo yakapisa mukati memakore matatu apfuura, Gallup Poll yakawana kuti "rutsigiro rwekuenderera mberi kwehondo rwakasvava munzvimbo dzose muUkraine, zvisinei kuti vari pedyo sei nemutsara wepamberi."

Zvinosuruvarisa, Russia inozivawo izvi. Russia inoziva zvese kukurumidza kwehondo uye nguva zviri kudivi rayo.

TRUMP ICHARATIDZWA CHOKWADI

Sezvinoratidzwa nemufananidzo wechina pazasi, pari zvino bhajeti reUnited States redziviriro yenyika rinodarika mabhiriyoni mazana mapfumbamwe emadhora. Mukufananidza, mumakore eCold War, bhajeti regore rekudzivirira reUS raive mabhiriyoni mazana mana nemakumi mashanu nemasere emadhora. Mukuenzanisa, bhajeti rekudzivirira reChina rinosvika mazana matatu emadhora mazana matatu emadhora. Uye Russia inoshandisa kudzivirira chikamu chimwe muzvitatu pakudzivirira sezvinoita China.

Mufananidzo 2: Nyika dzine mari yekudzivirira yakanyanya muna 2023

Zita renyika	US $ (mubhiriyoni US$)
nyika dzakabatana	916
China	296
Rashiya	109
India	86.6
Saudhi Arabhiya	75.8
United Kingdom	74.9
Jerimani	66.8
Ukireni	64.8
Furanzi	61.3
Japani	50.2
Chammhembe Koria	47.9
Itari	35.5
Ositireriya	32.3
Porendi	31.6
Izirayeri	27.6

Source: Statista: Rakabudiswa naLorenzo Macchi, Chivabvu 30, 2025

Munguva yeCold War, chinangwa chePentagon chaive chekurwa hondo mbiri panguva imwe chete: imwe neWarsaw Pact nyika (= USSR nevatsigiri vayo kuEastern Europe) nerubatsiro rwevabatsiri vayo veNATO uye kumwewo. Kufungidzira kwaive muvengi wechipiri haakwanisi (semuenzaniso, North Korea, Vietnam kana vari kutsvaga muenzaniso wemazuva ano saka ndingati Afghanistan, Syria, Iraq, nezvimwewo). Munguva yeCold War simba remauto eUnited States raidarika 75% kupfuura zvariri nhasi.

Maererano neUnited States' 2022 National Defense Strategy, nhasi Pentagon inoti (inovavarira) kukwanisa (pamwe chete nevabatsiri vayo) kurwisa uye kukunda China kana Russia (asi kwete zvose panguva imwe chete), kudzivirira nyika yekwavo uye kurwisana nevasiri vehurumende (President Bush Jr.'s 'war on terror').

Pamberi peRussia neChina 'hawks', 'neocons' uye 'vanopindira' vanoti US inofanira kushandisa mari yakawanda pakudzivirira kuitira kuti ikwanise kurwisana neChina neRussia panguva imwe chete, ndingavayeuchidza kuti kusiyana munguva yeCold War, kushayikwa kwemari yeUnited States (kureva, mari iyo US inofanira kukwereta kuti iite zvirongwa zvayo zvakasiyana uye inosangana nezvisungo zviripo 2024 gore) maererano neUS Treasury, ichava $1.83 trillion.

IUS $ inogona kunge iri mari inochengeterwa pasi rose asi rombo iri rine parinogumirawo. Izvi zvakaratidzwa nezviri kuitika mumusika wechisungo mushure me "Liberation Day" tariff yakaziviswa neMutungamiri Trump muna Kubvumbi 2, 2025 uye zvakare apo Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" yakapasiswa neImba yeVamiriri muna Chivabvu 22, 2025. Nezveramangwana rinofanoona, kana pasina chiito chinotorwa kugadzirisa bhajeti remusika, dhizaini yegore rino uye inoparadza Renminbi icharamba ichienda kune chinzvimbo cheUS $ semari yekuchengetedza.

Izvi ndizvo zvipimo mukati umo VaTrump vanofanira kugadzira zano ravo rekuve neChina izvo zvinogona kusanganisira kurwa neChina pamusoro peTaiwan. Ichi ndicho chikonzero anoda kuona (a) kupera kweHondo yeUkraine-Russia, (b) nhengo dzeEuropean NATO neAustralia kuwedzera mari yavo yekudzivirira. Ichi ndicho chikonzero ari kumanikidza makambani eUS kuti abvise zvivakwa zvavo zvekugadzira kubva kuChina uye shamwari-mahombekombe kana kumba-kumahombekombe nekuti kuita kwakadai kunoderedza kukura kweChina pagore.

Kana VaTrump vakakwanisa kugadzira hukama pakati peRussia neChina nekugumisa kuparadzaniswa kweRussia uye nekugadzirisa zviri pamutemo kuchengetedzwa kweRussia, zvichaita kuti basa rake rekuve neChina rive nyore.

TRUMP NDIYE MUKOMANA ANOKURUDZA

Mutungamiri Trump anga ari mukomana anorova wezvekune dzimwe nyika mutemo uye kuchengetedza masangano muUS uye zhinji NATO nyika. Izvi hazvifanirwe kuuya sechishamiso kune chero munhu anotoziva zvishoma nezvehukuru hweUkraine lobby kuMadokero. Iyo yakakura muhukuru, inotsigirwa nemari uye inonzwika zvakanyanya. Iine shamwari dzisingaverengeki munhau. Iyo inosanganisa zvakanyanya 'nyanzvi' idzo dzichiri kufunga nezveRussia (uye isati yasvika iyo yeUSSR) sekutyisidzira kukuru kuUS.

Izvi hazvisi kuramba kuti maonero enyika yeRussia akasiyana neaya eUS kana kuti hapana chikonzero chekutarisa mabhindauko eRussia ekunze kwenyika kana marudzi ezvombo zvaari kugadzira.

United States isimba guru repasi rose. Nekuda kweizvozvo, inofanirwa kuve yakangwarira nezve uye kuendesa zviwanikwa zvayo kunzvimbo dzenzvimbo kwainoona njodzi huru ingangobva.

IUS haigone kuramba iri Eurocentric kana dzimwe nzvimbo dzenzvimbo dzikaisa njodzi huru kune yayo masimba makuru epasirese.

Hupfumi hweChina hwakasiyana uye hwakafambira mberi sehuya hweUS. China inogona kuenzanisa US muzvikamu zvitatu zvine basa kana zvasvika pakutonga kwepasirese: simba rehupfumi, fungidziro yesimba remauto rakaoma uye kugona kwetekinoroji / kugona (cyberwarfare, tsvakiridzo yemuchadenga, hungwaru hwekugadzira, marobhoti, quantum computing, nezvimwewo). Kupfuurirazve, kusiyana neUS, yakabatanidza zvisina mutsetse hupfumi hwenyika dzakawanda (dzose dziri kusimukira uye dziri kusimukira dzepakati dzepakati) muhupfumi hwayo.

Zvakataurwa nemutungamiri wenyika VaTrump ndizvo zvakataurwa nemumiriri VaTrump kakawanda panguva yesarudzo dza2024. Mhosva chete yaana Trump ndeyekuti akaisa chokwadi mugakava pamusoro pemashoko ekugadzirisa nezve Hondo yeUkraine-Russia.

Sezvandakataura muchinyorwa changu chakaburitswa pano munaKurume 17, 2021, chine musoro, "Ini ndinovenga kuzvibvuma, asi Trump ichokwadi nezveUkraine”, kunyangwe Biden haana kumbobvira afunga kukoka Ukraine kuti ibatane neNATO kunyangwe Mutungamiri Zelenskyy vakamuteterera anenge mazuva ese kubva pakatanga chikamu chehondo muna Kukadzi 24, 2022.

Nhengo dzeEurope dzeNATO hadzifariri izvi kuchinja kwemutemo weUS pasi pehutongi hwaTrump nekuti (a) inoisa blowtorch pakusakwanisa kwavo kudzivirira miganhu yavo uye zvido zvavo zvekuchengetedza sezvavanozviona, uye (b) hazvivatenderi kutasva mahara kumashure kweUS zvakare.

Vanoedza kumanikidza vagadziri vemitemo veUS nekutaura pachena izvozvo Kuzvipira kwaTrump kuNATO hakuna chokwadi.

Sekureva kweAsia Development Bank, China inoita basa repamusoro muhupfumi hwenyika. It inoita 18% yeGDP yenyika uye ichiri kutarisirwa sehupfumi hukuru hwekutengeserana pasi rose pamberi peUS. Kupfuurirazve, kusiyana neUS, China yakabatanidza hupfumi hwenyika dzakawanda (dzepamusoro uye dziri kusimukira nyika dzepakati) muhupfumi hwayo. Vazhinji vemubatanidzwa weUS vanotengeserana zvakanyanya neChina pane neUS.

Ambassador Mark Green, mune chinyorwa chakataurwa nguva pfupi yadarika (chakatumirwa pawebhusaiti yeWilson Center) kuti muna 2023, China ndiyo yaive yepamusoro yekutengesa nyika dzinopfuura zana nemakumi maviri, kureva, nyika dzakawanda kupfuura US.

Hazvigoneke kuti nyika zhinji dzibvise hupfumi hwadzo kubva kuhupfumi hweChina pasina kukanganisa kwakanyanya kunyangwe munguva yepakati. Kunyangwe kuUS.

Hupfumi hweChinese neUS hwakabatanidzwawo sebvudzi rakarukwa kuita chic braid. Ichi ndicho chikonzero Mutungamiri Trump achangobva kumisa 145% mutero wekutengesa kunze kweChina akamanikidzwa kudzideredza kusvika pachiyero chakaderera mukati memazuva.

Kunyangwe iyo Trump yakaderedzwa mutero kusvika 55%, aifanira kunyengerera China kuti iuye kutafura yenhaurirano uye kupa zvimwe zvibvumirano, semuenzaniso, kubvumidza vadzidzi veChinese kudzidza kuUS, kurerutsira zvirambidzo zvekutengesa kunze kune kumwe kutengesa chip, nezvimwewo). Kana mhinduro yeWall Street iri mucherechedzo, saka iyo inotevera chimiro chechibvumirano chakasainwa neUS. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick akarereka achifarira China.

Zviri pamusoro ndezvimwe zvezvinetso izvo US inotarisana nayo mumakwikwi ayo neChina.

Panzvimbo pekuyambira Ukraine kuti kutevedzera mutemo wekunze wakanangana neruvengo kuRussia yanga isiri sarudzo yakagadzikana mukufamba kwenguva, Biden Administration yakakurudzira Ukraine kurwa neRussia.

Nekuita izvi uyezve kutsigira Ukraine nekupa akawanda emazuva ano masystem uye zvombo muUS arsenal, Biden akawedzera nharaunda yekuchengetedza iyo US inofanira kushanda mairi: mutemo wake wakabatsira vaviri vevadzivisi vayo vanotyisa, Russia neChina, kukudziridza hukama hwepedyo hwanga husingagone kufungidzira kare.

Ikozvino zvinoita sekunge Mutungamiri Zelenskyy abatwa nekunyepa kwake kuti Russia inoda kumedza nyika yake.

Putin aive ataura kudaro kakati wandei. Asi iye anoziva kuti ari kutaura zvisingaite (zvakafanana naTrump achishuvira kuti Canada ive chikamu cheUnited States). Ane urudzi chokwadi. Haambokanganwi kuranga vavengi vake (semweya waWagner mukuru Yevgeny Prigozhin achazvipupurira) asi zvakare ari wezvematongerwo enyika ane hunyanzvi (zvakanyanya mumaitiro aTrump).

Rega ndikupe zvikonzero zvishoma nei zvisinganyanyi kuitika. Ukraine inogovera miganhu nenyika nomwe: Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Moldova, Russia, uye Belarus. Pakati peizvi, mana ekutanga ndiwo Nhengo yeNATOs. Russia inonyatsoziva izvi.

Putin anozivawo kuti (a) hazvingave zvakaoma kuti NATO idzidzise, ​​mari, uye kupa zvombo nehungwaru kune chero kufamba kwekupikisa mukati meUkraine; uye (b) mumamiriro ezvinhu akadaro, mari yevanhu uye yemari yekuchengetedza zvachose kutonga / basa pamusoro peUkraine zvingave zvisingagoneki. Anoziva zvese Russia neUS zvakawana mutengo wekuchengetedza hutongi hwechipopi muAfghanistan usinga gadzirike.

Kupfuurirazve, danho rakadaro richaisa Russia mukukonana zvachose neNATO, sezvo yaizove ichipinda muhondo yakaderera neNATO; iyo yekupedzisira inorwa kuburikidza neavo proxies muUkraine. Izvi zvaisaita kuti Russia igadzirise hukama hwayo neAmerica nedzimwe nyika dzemuEurope kuitira kuti igokwanisa kupedza kuzviparadzanisa neRussia uye kubvisa zvirango zvehupfumi.

Russia yaizodawo kugadzirisa hukama hwayo neMadokero neUS nechikonzero chiri nyore: yaisazoda hukama neChina uko yakavharirwa zvachose semudiki mudiki. Ikozvino Sino-Russia kudyidzana muchato wekureruka. Nhoroondo, Russia neChina vanga vari vavengi kana pamakwikwi ehurongwa. Ukama hwavo hwave huchiratidzwa nekukakavadzana kwenzvimbo, kukakavara, kufungirana uye kupesana kwemafungiro (semuenzaniso, Mao naStalin vakavengana).

Kuti Trump Administration iite kuparuka muhukama hweSino-Russia, inofanirwa kuyedza kupedza hondo yeUkraine-Russia nenzira inoziva zvine chekuita nekuchengetedzwa kweRussia zviri pamutemo. Russia haizombobvuma kukombwa neNATO pamuganhu wayo wekumadokero kana weEurope. KuRussia, hondo iripo neUkraine iripo. KuUkraine yanga iri hondo vezvematongerwo enyika vakanyengerwa kuti varwe neBiden neNATO nekuti vakatungamira Ukraine kukwidza nzira yebindu nekuda kwezvikonzero zvavo zvekare uye zvenhoroondo.

Izvo zvinoenderana nemamiriro ezvinhu aya kuti kutaura kwaTrump kuti nhengo yeNATO kuUkraine haisi pamakadhi, uye kuda kwake pakutanga kuziva Crimea sechikamu cheRussia, kunofanira kududzirwa.

KUKOSHA KWEKUSHANDA SPIDERWEB

Kuitwa kwese kubva pakuumbwa kwayo kusvika pakuurayiwa kwaive kwakajeka. Yakanga iri yekufungidzira uye muenzaniso wakanaka wekufunga kunze kwebhokisi.

Kubudirira kwekuita uku, apo AFU yakanga ichirasikirwa nehondo pamativi mazhinji, kwaizosimudzira hunhu hwavo.

Drone pachavo inyanzvi yekare. Chii chitsva ndiko miniaturization yavo. Pakazosvika ma1980, Israel neSouth Africa vakanga kushandisa drones hombe nediki muLebanon neAngola, zvichiteerana.

Kubatsira kwekare kuUkraine kweOperation Spiderweb ndeyekuti Russia yakamanikidzwa kuisa ngarava dzayo dzendege kunyangwe. mberi kumabvazuva kubva kumuganhu weUkraine kuenda kuAnadyr neYelizovo airbases. Tu-95 ikozvino yave kuda maawa makumi maviri nematatu eUkraine mamisisheni misheni.

Kukuvadzwa kwezvikepe zveRussia zvemabhomba kwanga kusiri kwakakura sezvakataurwa neUkraine. Maererano neNATO neGermany Major General Christian Freuding zvichida inenge 10% yeRussia's strategic bomber fleet yakakuvadzwa / yakaparadzwa.

Maererano ne Mauto Watch Magazine Editorial Vashandi, "Umbowo hwese hunoratidza kuti Operation Spiderweb yakaparadza mabhomba manomwe eTu-95MS, kana anopfuura gumi muzana ezvikepe zvese, pamwe nemabhomba maviri eTu-22M3, ndege yeAn-12 inotakura zvinhu, uye imwe kana maviri A-50s angangove asingashande uye ari mudura."

Izvi zvaizoisa mutengo wekukuvadzwa kwese kwakapihwa pamadhora maviri emadhora. Zvino zvienzanise nezvinodhura Ukraine: Operation Spiderweb yakashandiswa 117 mini-drones, imwe neimwe ichiita $1000. Saka, iwe hauna kuwana muenzaniso uri nani wezvinogona kuwanikwa nerumwe rubatsiro kubva mukuchinjika kwevanhu muhondo yeasymmetric. Zvaizomanikidza nyika kuti dziomese nzvimbo dzekuvanda ndege dzavo. Russia yakatotanga kuita izvozvo. Vamwe, semuenzaniso, iyo US, UK, India, China, nezvimwewo vachakurumidza kutora matanho akafanana.

Izvo kana kuti zviito zvakadaro zvingachinja muuyo wehondo munzira ipi neipi here? Mhinduro inofanira kuva NO.

Kunyangwe iriyo mupi mukuru werubatsiro, zvakadaro Zvinoshamisa kuti US haina kuchengetwa muchiuno. Dai yakange yaziviswa, iyo US ingadai yakave yakarambidza chirongwa ichi. Sei?

"Ndiri kukuudza, huwandu hwenjodzi huri kukwira - ndinoreva, zvakaitika svondo rino," mumiriri waTrump, Keith Kellogg, akaudza Fox News paakabvunzurudzwa nezve Operation Spiderweb.

Akaenderera mberi achiti, "Vanhu vanofanira kunzwisisa munzvimbo yekuchengetedzwa kwenyika: kana iwe uchirwisa chikamu cheanopikisa chehupenyu hwavo hwekupona kwenyika, inova vatatu vavo, nyukireya triad, zvinoreva kuti ngozi yako yepamusoro inokwira nokuti hauzivi kuti rimwe divi richaitei. Hauna chokwadi. "

Ndakazvimiririra pane zvataurwa naGen Kellogg, ndakanga ndapa zano zvakafanana kune vatengi vangu neshamwari. Ndakataurawo kuti Ukraine inofanira kunge yakagadzirira kunyange kurwiswa kukuru kwezvivakwa zvayo. Ukraine inogona kunge yakakuvadza madhora mabhiriyoni maviri emidziyo yeRussia. Russia ikozvino ichaita kuti iparadze angangoita mabhiriyoni gumi emadhora ezvivakwa zveUkraine. Kubva Operation Spiderweb, takaona Russia ichivhura nhamba yakakura kwazvo yema drones uye makombora pazvivakwa zveUkraine husiku hwese. Iri kunanga zvakare maguta eUkraine anga asina kukuvadzwa kusvika zvino.

Operation Spiderweb inogona kunge yaive daredevil oparesheni, asi yaive mhosho sezvakaitwa neAFU kupinda mudunhu reKursk. Ikozvino havana kungodzingwa kunze asi Russia inoita kunge yafunga kutora dunhu reSumy, dunhu rakanga risiri runyorwa rwekutanga rweRussia.

Dzimwe nguva, Ukraine yakaedza nehana kusimudza mwero wenjodzi yehondo mune tariro isina maturo kuti inogona pakupedzisira kunyengetedza nhengo dzeUS neNATO kuti dzirwe pamwe chete navo. Uku kwaiva kumwe kuedza kwakadaro.

Mangwanani-ngwanani munguva yehondo, vakakuvadza Nord Stream pombi uye akapomera Russia mhosva yacho. US neNATO pavakaongorora chiitiko ichi, vakawana "mukuru wemauto eUkraine ane hukama hwakadzama nebasa rehungwaru renyika akaita basa guru mukubhomba kweNord Stream."

HONDO ICHAPERA RINI UYE SEI

Hapana anogona kufanotaura kuti hondo ichapera riini. Asi, humbowo hwese huripo hunoratidza kuti pese painopera hondo iyi, chibvumirano cherunyararo chinenge chanyanya kufarirwa neRussia pane yeUkraine.

Izvo hazvinei nechokuita nenyaya yekuti hutongi hutsva muWashington haufariri kutsigira Ukraine sezvaiitwa neBiden Presidency kana kuti Mutungamiri Trump varikuda kudzikisa rubatsiro rwemauto kuUkraine.

Mutungamiri Zelenskyy vanotarisana nedambudziko guru. Zelenskyy akataura kakawanda, kunyanya kubva pakasarudzwazve Mutungamiri Trump, kuti Ukraine haana simba rehondo kuhwina matunhu ayo akarasikirwa neRussia.

Uyezve, iye anozivawo kuti zuva rega rega ari kurasikirwa zvishoma zveUkraine kuRussia. Yakawanda yenzvimbo iyi yakarasika mukati memakore eBiden.

Asi achimanikidzwa nevatsigiri vake vekuEurope (nekuti vacharega kupa chero rubatsiro rushoma rwemari kana rwemauto rwavanopa kuUkraine) anosimbirirawo kuti Ukraine haizoregi nzvimbo kuti ive nerunyararo neRussia. Anoti, “Iyi ndiyo nyika yedu.” Nharo yake yekusatengeserana ivhu nerunyararo ndeyekuti zvinotyora bumbiro remutemo reUkraine.

Bumbiro remitemo yenyika rinochinja sezvo mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika ari kuchinja. UK haina bumbiro rakanyorwa. Masangano ayo anoshanda pahwaro hwetsika nemienzaniso. Kusvika 1997, UK yaive nyika isina kubatana. Inoda kushevedzera referendamu pazvinhu zvikuru, semuenzaniso, Scotland yakawana Paramende yeScottish yakagashirwa kuburikidza nereferendamu muna 1997. UK yakaita referendamu yeBrexit muna 2016. Pamberi pebumbiro remutemo reFifth Republic ra1958, France yakapinda nemamwe mabumbiro gumi nematatu. Ikozvino Bumbiro reGermany (Grundgesetz) yakagamuchirwa muna 1949. Izvi zvisati zvaitika, pakanga pane zvinyorwa zviviri zvikuru: Bumbiro reHumambo hweGermany (1871-1919) uye Weimar Constitution (1919-1933). Bumbiro remutemo reIndia, rakatanga kudzikwa muna 1950, rakagadziridzwa ka106.

Kuongorora kwangu ndekwekuti chinzvimbo chaPutin chiri kuomesa. Zvingangoita kuti chero nharaunda iyo Russia inowana muhondo, Putin achaitora oizivisa nharaunda yeRussia zvisinei nematunhu mashanu aanoti iye zvino.

Ibasa remutungamiri wezvematongerwo enyika kutevedzera gwara rezvematongerwo enyika raanofunga kuti rakanakira nyika yake. Zelenskyy - panzvimbo yekunetseka pamusoro pekuti uyu kana kuti mutungamiri weEurope ari kumukumbira kuti aite sei kana kuti chii icho kana kuti boka iro mukati meuto kana mubato rake riri kumuudza kuti aite - anoda kuzvibvunza mubvunzo mumwe chete wakapfava: nemamiriro ezvinhu aripo iye zvino, ari kutevera mutemo wakanakira nyika yake. Nechekare 52% yevaUkraine vanoda imwe mhando yerunyararo kuitira kuti ivo nevana vavo vagone kugarisana nehupenyu hwavo. Iyi nhamba ichawedzera nekufamba kwenguva uye ichaganhurira rusununguko rwake rwekufamba.

Mune mamwe mazwi, nguva haisi kudivi reMutungamiri Zelensky. Maonero eVaTrump Administration ndeekuti America inofanirwa kugadzirisa hukama hwayo neRussia uye kumisa kuparadzaniswa kweRussia kuitira kuti pave nepakati pakati peChina neRussia. Izvi zvichaita kuti zvive nyore kuUS kuisa mabhureki pakukura kwehupfumi hweChina uye iine.

VaTrump vageza maoko avo mukuedza kuita runyararo pakati peUkraine neRussia, nekuti ivo anofunga Zelenskyy intransigent. Kana Zelenskyy akasaita sarudzo nekukurumidza pachake, Trump anogona kuenderera mberi nekutanga kuziva Crimea senzvimbo yeRussia (sezvazvaive Khrushchev asati apa chipo kuUkraine muna 1954) uyezve, ingave Zelenskyy anozvida kana kuti kwete, nyika dzese dzeEurope dzichawira mumutsara. Mutambo uchapera kuUkraine.

*Vidya S. Sharma anopa zano vatengi nezvekushambadzira, njodzi dzenyika, uye tekinoroji-based joint ventures. Akapa zvinyorwa zvakawanda zvemapepanhau ane mukurumbira se: The Canberra Times, The Sydney Morning Herald, Age (Melbourne), Australian Financial Review, The Economic Times (India), Bhizinesi Standard (India), EU Mutori wenhau (Brussels), East Asia Foramu (Canberra), The Business Line (Chennai, India), Nguva yeHindustan (India), The Financial Express (India), The Daily Caller (US. Anogona kufonerwa pa:  [email inodzivirirwa].

Goverana ichi chinyorwa: