Kukwira kwemitengo kunotungamirwa nehondo kunoderedza mutemo weOrban wesimba wakaderera

Nekuwedzera chivharo pamitengo yemafuta ekutengesa mazuva Russia isati yapinda muUkraine, Mutungamiriri weHungary, Viktor Orban, vapinda musungo remitemo rinogona kukanganisa kuedza kuchengetedza hupfumi hwakasimba mushure mesarudzo dzeparamende dzemusi wa3 Kubvumbi.

Takatarisana nekukwira kwemitengo kusvika pamakore gumi nemashanu pamberi pevhoti, mutungamiri wenyika ane makore makumi mashanu nemasere akaisa zvivharo pazvikafu zvakakosha, mafuta edzimotokari uye mbavha, achiwedzera kuderedzwa kwemitengo pamabhiri emagetsi epamba kubva muna 15.

Pasinei nemafambiro aya, ayo Budapest anoti akadonha 3 kusvika 4 muzana mapoinzi kubva ku inflation, kukura kwemitengo kwakawedzera muna Kukadzi sezvo kukakavara muUkraine kwakakonzera simba nemimwe mitengo yezvekudya kuti ikwire pamisika yepasi rose. Dzimwe nyanzvi munyaya dzezvehupfumi dzinoti inflation yave kusvika pakusvika manhamba maviri muna Chivabvu kusvika Chikumi, apo mitengo yemitengo yave kupera.

Nekuda kwekukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu, vamwe vanoongorora vanoti kana mitengo yemafuta ikaramba iri pamusoro pemadhora zana padhiramu, zvobvisa mutengo wemafuta mudanho rimwe chete mushure mesarudzo hazvichaitike mune zvematongerwo enyika uye zvinogona kukonzera imwe mhirizhonga.

Mitengo yemusika yepeturu yakamira pa641 forints per litre neChishanu zvichibva patally by price comparison website holtankoljak.hu, zvichienzaniswa ne480 forint per litre price cap iripo kubva munaNovember uye nekuda kwekupera pakati paMay.

Bhanga reNational Bank of Hungary (NBH) riri kutarisirwa kusimudza mwero waro nemamwe makumi manomwe neshanu mapoinzi Chipiri chinotevera, kuwedzera mushandirapamwe wekukwira kwakanyanya kukwidza misika yemuno.

"NBH haichakwanisa kuderedza mitengo yemafuta nekukwidzwa kwemitengo. Zvisineyi, zvinogona kubatsira kuti tarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo yemumba irambe iri pasi," akadaro Peter Virovacz nyanzvi mune zveupfumi kuING.

"Bhangi richafanira kutarisana nemafungiro epfungwa. Kana mitengo yemafuta yaizokwira pamusoro pe600 forints, izvo zvingaita kuti pave nekuwedzera kwetarisiro yekukwira kwemitengo."

Muongorori wemafuta negasi weErste Bank, Tamas Pleter, akati mutengo wacho uri kudhura boka resimba reHungary MOL. (MOLB.BU) 1.5 bhiriyoni kusvika 2 bhiriyoni forints pazuva, kunyangwe ichangoburwa kudzoka kwemitengo yemafuta epasi rose kwakapa zororo.

MOL haina kupindura mibvunzo yakatumirwa neemail kuti vataure.

Shell (SHEL.L) yakatemera zviuru makumi maviri nezvishanu zveforint refueling muganho pamapombi ayo enguva dzose muHungary mwedzi uno kuve nechokwadi chekuchengetedzwa kwekupihwa, nepo OMV. (OMVV.VI) yakawedzera mafuta kusvika pa100 litres per transaction pamapombi ayo emazuva ose uye 300 litres papombi dzedhiziri dzine simba guru.

"Dambudziko rekudzora mutengo wemafuta kana kudzikiswa kwemitengo nderekuti mitengo pamusika ikasiyana zvakanyanya, zvinoita kuti zviome kuyananisa zviviri izvi," Plester akadaro, achiona kutadza kwekuedza kwakafanana mugadziri weoiri muVenezuela.

Nyanzvi munyaya dzezvehupfumi dzinoti kukwira kwemitengo yemagetsi kuri kuwedzerawo hurongwa hwaOrban hwekuda kumisa mabhiri emagetsi edzimba nemitengo inotsigirwa nehurumende.

Plester akati zvichada kuwedzera kana kusvika kashanu kwemitengo yegesi nemagetsi kuti isvike pamisika, pasina izvo hurumende yaizofanira kubaya maforita anosvika 1.5 trillion muboka remagetsi rehurumende reMVM gore rino kubhadhara kurasikirwa kwayakaita.

Citigroup economist Eszter Gargyan, uyo anofungidzira mutengo wemari yemutengo wekushandisa pa1 trillion forints, kana 1.5% yeGDP, anoona inflation ichikwira kusvika 10% kana mutengo wemafuta ukasimudzwa asi mutengo wekushandisa wepamba uchichengetwa uripo.

MVM yaramba kutaura pamusoro pekufanotaura kweanalyst. Bazi rezvemari rakati kuwedzera kwemari kunobatsira kubhadhara mari isingatarisirwe.

"Hungary iri kuzara nenyaya dzemari dzakavanzika, dzinozobuda mushure mesarudzo," Pleter akadaro.

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