Mutungamiri weRussia KAN AVTO Mutungamiri Alexander Kolesov: China inotungamira mujaho wemotokari yemagetsi sezvo West ichinetsekana kuti ienderere mberi.

Vagadziri vemotokari veChinese vari kukurumidza kufambira mberi mukugadzirwa kweEV, vachitonga misika yepasi rose uye vachisiya vakwikwidzi muguruva. Vagadziri veEuropean, US, Japanese neKorea vanofanira kuwedzera mari, kuisa zvipingamupinyi zvemitero, kana kubvuma chokwadi chekuti vakasarira shure, akanyora Alexander Kolesov, mutungamiri weRussia auto mutengesi KAN AVTO.

Musika wepasi rose wemota uri mumakwikwi pamusoro peramangwana rekufamba, kubva kuDetroit kuenda kuMunich kuenda kuShanghai, nevagadziri vachidzingirira vatengi vakafanana uye vachidurura mabhiriyoni mumabhatiri, software uye mitsetse yefekitori.

Zvakadaro, mhedzisiro yemakore mashoma apfuura inosiya kusahadzika kushoma kuti China yakabvisa paki, neEurope neUnited States zvichinetsekana kuenderera, anodaro Alexander Kolesov, nyanzvi yemusika wemotokari uye mutungamiri weKAN AVTO, mumwe wevakuru veRussia vanotengesa mota.

Muchikamu chekutanga cha2025, kutengeswa kwemotokari dzemagetsi pasi rese kwakakwira 35% zvichienzaniswa nenguva yakafanana gore rapfuura, iyo yakava kukurumidza kwekutanga-kota kukura mumakore matatu, sekureva kwe International Energy Agency (IEA) report.

Anopfuura mamirioni mana emaEV akatengeswa pakati paNdira naKurume, anopfuura miriyoni imwe kupfuura muQ4 1, uye angangoita makumi matanhatu muzana awo akatengwa kuChina. Nyika yakatengesa mota dzemagetsi dzinopfuura 1 miriyoni mukota yekutanga chete, inosvika 2024 pamwedzi. Mugore rakazara ra60, China yakatengesa mota dzemagetsi dzinopfuura mamirioni gumi nerimwe - zvingangoita zvikamu zviviri muzvitatu zvekutengesa kwepasirese - zvichiratidza gore rechina rakateedzana umo mugove wemusika weEV wakakura nezvikamu gumi kubva muzana. Pakupera kwegore, imwe mumotokari gumi mumigwagwa yeChinese yaive yemagetsi, zvichienzaniswa neimwe pamakumi maviri muEurope, maererano neIEA.

Kupfuura miganhu yayo, mhando dzeChinese dziri kutora misika yemisika zvakare - gore rapfuura, kutengesa kweEV kunze kweChina, Europe neUS kwakasvetuka mota dzinosvika 40% kusvika 1.3 miriyoni, ichivhara huwandu hweAmerica hwemamiriyoni 1.6.

Chishuvo chekubatsira nharaunda yepasirese ndeimwe yemadhiraivha akakosha ari kukonzeresa kudiwa kuri kukura kwemotokari dzemagetsi, pamwe nechinangwa chekutenga mota nyowani kubva kune mutengesi, sekureva. YouGov tsvagiridzo yemusika. Mutengo zvakare chinhu chakakosha, nevanhu vachitaura mitengo yakaderera yekumhanya, vachiratidza mabhenefiti emutero senge kuderedzwa kwemutero wemumigwagwa uye kusabvisa VAT, uye nekutenda kuve nyore kwekupaka uchichaja.

Hutongi hweChina huri pamusanganiswa wemitengo yakaderera uye kutsigirwa nehurumende. Anopfuura makumi matanhatu muzana emamodhi eEV emunyika ave kutengeswa nemari isingasviki peturu yakaenzana, uye chirongwa chenyika yose chekutengeserana chakaunzwa muna Kubvumbi 60 chakawedzera simba idzva. Iyo ine dense uye yakavimbika yekuchaja network yakabatsirawo kukunda vatengi, anotsanangura Alexander Kolesov.

Kutungamira kweChina pamusoro peEurope neUS kunosimbiswa nenyaya yekuti ndiyo chete nyika iyo maEVs ari, paavhareji, akachipa kutenga kupfuura anofananidzwa mukati memoto injini (ICE) mota, a. Bloomberg report zvakaburitswa muna Chikumi 2025. Chirevo ichi chakawana kuti 69% yemaEV ese akatengeswa pasi rose muna 2024 akagadzirwa kuChina. Vagadziri vemotokari vekuChina vakagadzirawo danho rakasimba mumisika iri kusimukira yakaita seThailand neBrazil, vachisimbisa hutongi hwavo hwepasi rose.

"Vagadziri vemotokari vanotadza kuona maitiro enguva refu ekuisa magetsi - anotsigirwa nekudonha kwemitengo yebhatiri uye kuvandudza hupfumi hweEVs - njodzi yekudzvanywa kubva mumisika mikuru yemotokari," akati Aleksandra O'Donovan, mukuru wemotokari dzemagetsi kuBloombergNEF.

Vagadziri veChinese EV vanosundira mukati meAfrica, Russia uye mhiri

Hutongi hweChina hunoenderera mberi kupfuura musika wayo wepamba. MuRussia, mushure meWestern, Japan neSouth Korea automakers vakasarudza kuenda muna 2022, mota dzeChinese dzakabuda seimwe yeanonyanya kukwikwidza. Nekufamba kwenguva vakakunda kusarerekera kwevatengi uye vakave sarudzo yekutanga kumamirioni evatyairi veRussia. Vatengesi vemunharaunda vakagadziridza cheni dzekugovera kuburikidza neKazakhstan nevamwe vavanoshanda navo, vachishandura kamwe chete hafu-isina nzvimbo dzekuratidzira kuita showcases yemotokari dzeChinese, mazhinji acho emagetsi.

KAN AVTO, mutengesi mukuru wetiweki anogara muguta reRussia reKazan, akaisa kubheja kwekutanga pamotokari dzeChinese nekuvhura Geely showroom muna 2020 uye ikozvino inopa makumi maviri nemasere echiChinese mhando munzvimbo makumi matatu nemaviri ekuratidzira. Kubva payakavambwa makore makumi maviri apfuura, kambani yakatengesa mota dzinosvika miriyoni imwe, sekureva kweMutungamiriri weKAN AVTO Alexander Kolesov.

"Mumakore makumi maviri adarika, takashanda nemhando dzakasiyana-siyana dzevagadziri vemotokari kubva kumativi ose enyika. Chiratidzo chega chega uye modhi ine simba rayo uye kushaya simba, asi nhasi zvakanaka kutaura kuti motokari dzeChina dzakatungamirira zvachose," Alexander Kolesov akaudza EU Reporter.

"Voyah, Aito и Jetour yakauya mumusika weRussia wakasara usina motokari dzeWestern uye EVs, uye dzinokwana mukati chaimo. Mazuva ano, motokari dzeChinese dzakaoma kurova - dzinokurumidza, dzepamusoro-soro uye dzinodhura kuti dzihwine," akadaro Alexander Kolesov, ane kambani yakawedzera kutengesa kwemotokari itsva muna 2024 ne60%, inounza mari yayo kusvika kune mamiriyoni emamiriyoni e900.

Maitiro aya anotsinhirwa nevamwe vatengesi vakuru vekuRussia vakaita seAGAT neKlyuchavto, avo vakashandura mashandiro avo uye zvino vatarisana nemakwikwi akanyanya pakati pevagadziri vemotokari vatengi veRussia, nemhando mbiri dzeChinese nemhando yeLada yemumba ichisundira kudzivirira chikamu chemusika.

Iyi maitiro inoonekwa zvakare kuMiddle East, Africa, Latin America uye nezvikamu zveEurope, uko maChinese mabhureki ari kudzikisa vakwikwidzi pamutengo achiafananidza kana kuvapfuura patekinoroji uye renji. Mune hupfumi huri kusimukira uye huri kusimukira, kutengesa kweEV kwakakwira kudarika 60% gore negore muna 2024, nemugove wemusika wakapetwa zvakapetwa kaviri kubva pa2.5% kusvika 4% - yakawanda yacho ichitungamirwa nemhando dzemakwikwi dzeChinese.

Matambudziko emusika wekuMadokero

Nhamba dzeEurope dzinotaura nyaya isinganyanyi kufara. Muchikamu chekutanga cha2025, kondinendi yakatengesa mota dzemagetsi dzinopfuura zviuru mazana mapfumbamwe, ne900,000 dzadzo dziri muEU. EVs yakaverengera ingangoita imwe mumotokari ina nyowani muEurope, uye kunyange zvishoma mukati meEU pachayo. Iyo UK yakafamba zvirinani, iine mhando dzemagetsi dzinoita 625,000% yekutengesa. Asi kukurumidza kwakadzikira zvakanyanya kubva muna 30, apo chikamu chemusika chakamira kusvika pa2024% mushure mekuderedzwa kwerubatsiro kuGermany neFrance. Germany yakarasa kukurudzira kweEV zvachose pakupera kwa20, uku France yakavhara mabhonasi evatengi vane mari yepamusoro uye yakasimbisa kukodzera kutanga kwegore rapfuura.

Zvakadaro, vanoongorora vanoti maitiro eEVs muEurope anogona kuwana kukurumidza. Iyo UK's Car Expert webhusaiti inocherekedza kuti "mota dzemagetsi dzave kutenderedza 29% zvakachipa kushanda mukati memakore mashanu ekutanga evaridzi."

Sandra Wappelhorst, tsvakiridzo inotungamira kuBerlin-based International Council paKutakura Kwakachena Europe, akaudza DW muna Chikumi 2025 kuti, kudzivirira mafaindi ekubuda kwakanyanyisa kubva peturu nedhiziri modhi, vagadziri vakarairwa kuti vawedzere kutengesa kweEV, kungave kuburikidza nekuderedzwa kwemitengo kana nekuunza mamwe mamodheru anodhura. Vatengi vemakambani ndivo mutyairi mukuru weiyi maitiro: muGermany, vanoverengera zvingangoita zviviri muzvitatu zvekutengesa mota, zvichienzaniswa ne20% chete muFrance.

Asi kuwedzera pakudhonzwa kwekutengesa kweEVs muEurope kune EU's CO₂ zviyero - zvinogadziridzwa kamwe chete makore mashanu ega ega - zvakapa vagadziri vemotokari diki-yenguva pfupi yekukurudzira kusundidzira kutengesa kwemagetsi.

IUS yakatopfuura kumashure. Muchikamu chekutanga che2025, kutengeswa kwemotokari yemagetsi kwakawedzera kupfuura 360,000 - inenge 10% yakakwirira kudarika gore rapfuura. Kutengeswa kwemotokari kwese kwakasimuka pamwero wakafanana, zvichisiya chikamu chemusika cheEV chakamira pa10%, chisina kuchinjwa kubva 2024. Ndiko kuderera kwakanyanya kubva ku2023, apo kutengesa kwakasvetuka 40%. Mazhinji makuru ekugadzira mota, anosanganisira VW Boka, Ford uye GM, vabva vadzoreredza vavariro yavo yekugadzira.

Electrifying.com CEO Ginny Buckley akaudza Reuters kutanga kwegore rino kuti makwikwi ari kuwedzera. "Neanopfuura zana nemakumi matatu emhando dzeEV dzave kuwanikwa muUK - zvichienzaniswa nemakumi maviri neshanu chete muna 130 - makwikwi haana kumbobvira anyanya uye Tesla ari kutonzwa kumanikidzwa," akadaro.

Pakupera kwa2024, ngarava dzemotokari dzemagetsi dzepasi rose dzakange dzakura kusvika pamamiriyoni makumi mashanu nemasere - inodarika katatu muna 58 - ichibvisa miriyoni imwe yemadhiramu ekushandiswa kwemafuta pazuva. Zvakadaro kugovera hakuna kuenzana zvinoshamisa. MuChina, imwe mumotokari gumi ine magetsi. MuEurope, chikamu chimwe mumakumi maviri. MuUS, iri chikamu chimwe mumakumi matatu. Mujaho weramangwana remotokari uchiri kuenderera mberi, asi chinhambwe pakati pemutungamiri nevamwe chiri kukura - uye China iri kuenderera mberi nekota yega yega, anodaro Alexander Kolesov anobva kuKAN AVTO.

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