Haqqani inosimudzira simba muAfghanistan

Nekurudziro yaGurukota rezvemukati menyika yeAfghanistan, Sirajuddin Haqqani (pamufananidzo) iri kukura mukati meAfghanistan uye pakati pemapoka akafanana kunze kwenyika, dambudziko rehugandanga pasi rose rinogona kuwedzera. Mukati meAfghanistan, simba remamwe mapoka rinogona kudzikira. Barbara Kelemen, Mubatanidzwa uye anotungamira huchenjeri muongorori weAsia ku Dragonfly, anonyora:

"Sirajuddin Haqqani ave mumwe wevanhu vane simba muAfghanistan. Mr Haqqani vakamisa uye vava kutonga zvigadziriso zvenyika uye vari kushingaira kuwedzera simba ravo kuburikidza nekugadzwa. Kusimbaradza masimba munyika kungangoitwa nenzira yekuwedzera kuchengetedzwa kwekuchengetedza, kuuraya zvisiri pamutemo uye kuita kwakasimba kwemutemo weSharia.

"Netiweki chikamu cheTaliban asi chinoshanda sesero rakasiyana. Iyo inonyanya kukosha, uye ine hukama hwepedyo neAl-Qaeda (AQ) nePakistan. Hazvigoneki kuti Mr Haqqani nemidziyo yekuchengetedza iri pasi pekutonga kwavo ichadzinga ma jihadists ane pfungwa dzakafanana, seAQ, kubva kuAfghanistan, izvo nekufamba kwenguva zvingangokonzera kutyisidzira kwehugandanga pasi rose. 

Mwanakomana wababa vake 

"Sirajuddin mwanakomana waJulaludin Haqqani, muvambi wetiweki aive nehukama hwepedyo naOsama bin Laden. Isu tinonzwisisa kuti akanyanyisa kupfuura baba vake, uye ane simba rakakura pane mamwe majihadist ekunze muAfghanistan.

"Izvi zvakabvumira Mr Haqqani kuronga uye kutungamira boka remauto ari kurwisa Islamic State Khorasan (IS-K). VaHaqqani vari kuraira mauto uye vanonzi vari kugadza magavhuna anogovana maonero ake echokwadi.

Outlook ye Haqqani simba muAfghanistan

"Isu tinofungidzira kuti Mr Haqqani vachakwanisa kuva neI-K mumwedzi iri kuuya. Isu tinoongorora hazvigoneke kuti izvi zvinoreva kuti achakunda zvachose IS-K. Izvi zvinobva pane zvakatangira pamwe chete nemamiriro ekunze eAfghanistan.

"Itaneti yeHaqqani mumakore gumi apfuura yakakudziridza hukama hwepedyo nehungwaru hwePakistan. Uye isu tinotarisira kuti Pakistan icharamba ichitsigira iyo Haqqanis kuzvidzivirira kubva kuIS-K spillover uye kusimbisa simba rayo muAfghanistan.

Kukanganisa kwehugandanga hwepasi rose 

"Haqqanis inochengetedza hukama hwepedyo neAl-Qaeda nemamwe mapoka emagandanga ekunze. Nekudaro hazvigoneke kuti hurumende yeTaliban naVaHaqqani vachitungamira midziyo yayo yekuchengetedza vadzinge kana kuita zvirambidzo pazviitiko zveAl-Qaeda nemamwe majihadist ane pfungwa dzakafanana.

"Tinokahadzika kuti Haqqani network kana yakakura Taliban ichakurudzira kana kufambisa zvakananga kurwiswa kwenyika. Kuita izvi kwaizokanganisa kuvimbika kwavo sehurumende uye kukanganisa simba ravo repamba nekuisa munjodzi yekurwiswa nemauto epasirese uye nekuwedzera zvirango.

"Matanho aripo ekubatana pakati pevatorwa jihadists, iyo Haqqani network neTaliban haafanire kuparara zvachose. Vaviri ava vakaratidza kakawanda kuti vanogona kuramba vachirambwa kana kurwiswa nevatorwa jihadist kukaitika.

"Zviripachena kuti Afghanistan ingangove yakawanda mune zvematongerwo enyika uye mune zvechitendero kuchengetedza uye yakasarudzika nzvimbo ine mukurumbira weHaqqanis mukati. Simba ravanaro rinopfuura mamwe mapoka anopikisa. Nepo hutungamiriri hwake huchiedza kuratidza ruvimbiko nerusaruro uye kurwisa hugandanga, izvi zvinoita sezvakasiyana nezviri pachena. Naizvozvo kune kutya kwepasi rose kwehugandanga huri pasi pehutungamiriri uhwu. "

About Dragonfly

Yakatangwa muna Chikunguru 2021, Dragonfly chiziviso chitsva cheyaimbova Intelligence & Analysis maitiro eThe Risk Advisory Group. 

Dragonfly ibasa rehungwaru rezvematongerwo enyika uye rekuchengetedza kumasangano anotungamira pasirese. Kubva munzvimbo dzakanyanya njodzi kusvika kuimba yebhodhi, Dragonfly inogonesa vatengi vayo kuita sarudzo dzakashinga uye nekuvaisa pamberi penjodzi kuti vazadzise zvinangwa zvavo. Mukonikoni unodarika miganho yeruzivo rwenguva-chaiyo kuendesa huchenjeri hwekutanga yambiro, nekubatanidza simba rekuwanza ruzivo, data, tekinoroji, sevhisi, kugona uye hunyanzvi hwevanhu. 

Yayo mureza Chengetedza Intelligence & Analysis Service (SIAS) inopa bespoke, inotarisisa uye inobatika yese-sosi yekuchengetedza hungwaru, kusanganisira yakadzama ongororo, njodzi modelling uye analytics.

Dragonfly ine huvepo hwepasi rose, ine mahofisi muLondon, New York, Washington, DC neSingapore.

Rumwe ruzivo nezve iyo yakazara suite yeDragonfly's security intelligence services inowanika pa www.dragonflyintelligence.com 

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