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India yakamira yakasimba sezvo mauto ePakistan anopfupikisa achiwedzera kudeuka kweropa muKashmir

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Isu tinoshandisa kusaina kwako kukupa zvirimo munzira dzawakabvumira uye kuvandudza manzwisisiro edu pamusoro pako. Unogona kuzvibvisa chero nguva.

Kupokana kuri kuramba kuchiitika pakati peIndia nePakistan pamusoro peKashmir kwakava dambudziko rakazara mushure mekurwiswa kwehutsinye kwehugandanga musi wa22 Kubvumbi 2025, pedyo neguta rine mukurumbira rePahalgam, Kashmir inotungamirwa neIndia. Kurwiswa uku, kwakasiya vashanyi makumi maviri nevaviri vechiHindu vafa, ndiko kwakaipisisa kuurayiwa kwevanhu munharaunda kubva kutanga kwe26s - uye humbowo hunonongedza zvakananga kumapoka emagandanga ane Pakistan.

Masangano ehungwaru ekuIndia akakurumidza kuona vapari vemhosva sevashandi kubva Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), sangano rePakistani jihadist raimbove rakakonzera kufa kwa2008 kurwiswa kweMumbai. Vaviri vevatatu vakarwisa vakasimbiswa zvizvarwa zvePakistani. Vakuru veIndia, vachitaura pane rekodhi, vakapomera Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) yePakistan nekupa rubatsiro rwemari uye rwemari kune mhondi.

"Ichi hachisi chiito chehukasha chezvimiro zvemupendero. Ichi chiitiko chakaverengerwa, chekuyambuka muganhu chekutyisa chinotsigirwa nenyika yakadzika yePakistan, "akadaro Gurukota rezvekunze reIndia, Dr. Subrahmanyam Jaishankar, mukutaura kwechimbichimbi kuParamende.

Nepo Islamabad yakaramba ichiramba kubatanidzwa, kuvimbika kwayo kuri kukurumidza kupera padanho repasi rose. Zvichemo zvePakistan zvekusava nemhosva ring hollow zvakapihwa basa rayo renguva refu se incubator yemapoka anonyanyisa seLeT, Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM), uye Hizbul Mujahideen, iyo yose inoshanda pachena pavhu rayo ne, pane zvakanakisisa, kubvumirwa kwehurumende uye, pakaipisisa, kutsigira kushingaira.

Mukupindura, India yakaratidza kuzvidzora kunoyemurika kwakabatana nesimba rinodiwa. Mutungamiriri wenyika, Narendra Modi, akaraira kuti kuparadzwe nekuchimbidza kudzura masero evakarara nevanoshandira muhondo mukati meKashmir, zvichikonzera kusungwa kwevanoda kusvika zviuru zviviri. Nzvimbo dzinopfuura makumi mana nesere dzevashanyi dzakavharwa kwenguva pfupi senzira yekudzivirira kuchengetedza vanhuwo zvavo.

Nepo mamwe mapoka ekodzero dzevanhu ekuMadokero akashoropodza matanho akaomarara eIndia, zvakakosha kuti tizive mamiriro ezvinhu: India, nyika ine hutongi hwejekerere, iri kuita kudzivirira vagari vayo kubva kuhugandanga hunotsigirwa nekunze. Kushevedzera kwe "kuzvidzora" kunofanirwa kutanga kwakanangana neIslamabad, iyo inoramba ichishandisa Kashmir senhandare yehondo yekufungidzira kwayo kwakakundikana.

Hukama hwevamiriri pakati penyika mbiri dzine zvombo zvenyukireya hwaderera. India yakamisa kutora chikamu muIndus Waters Treaty, chibvumirano cha1960 chayakatsigira nekuvimbika kwemakumi emakore - kunyangwe panguva dzekunetsana kwakanyanya. Zvichakadaro, mhinduro dzePakistan dzinoita mabvi - kuvhara nzvimbo yemhepo, kudzinga vamiriri - kunoratidza hutongi hunonyanya kufarira saber-rattling pane kutaurirana kwakakomba.

Pakati pePakistan's destabilization campaign is General Asim Munir, Mukuru wemauto ePakistani. Anozivikanwa netsitsi dzake dzeIslamist dzakaomarara uye hukasha hwekupokana neIndia, Munir akawedzera kutaura kune njodzi nyowani, yambiro ye "hondo yese" pamusoro pekodzero dzemvura - kutyisidzira kusingatarisire uye kune ngozi.

Pasi pehutungamiriri hwaMunir, mauto ePakistan akawedzera zvakapetwa kaviri pahurongwa hwayo hwakashata hwekutsigira vatsigiri vehugandanga pane kuvaka nyika ine runyararo, yakabudirira. Nyanzvi dzepasi rese dzinoyambira kuti hupfumi hwePakistan huchienda kumawere, mauto ayo - anoshuvira kuchengetedza hutongi - ari kushandisa Kashmir senzira iri nyore.

"Kupengeswa neuto rePakistan neKashmir inyaya yehugandanga hunotsigirwa nehurumende hunoitwa sekuda nyika," akadaro Lt. Gen. (Retd.) Syed Ata Hasnain, aimbova Mutungamiriri wemauto gumi nemashanu eIndia.

Nharaunda yepasi rose, kunyanya muEurope neNorth America, inofanirwa kuziva iyi nzira ine ngozi. Pakistan haingori "munhu akabatwa nehugandanga" sezvainowanzo taura - ndiye mukuru anotsigira hugandanga muSouth Asia. Inofanirwa kuzvidavirira pasi pemutemo wepasi rose, kusanganisira zvirango zvinogona kuitika uye zvirambidzo kudzamara yabvisa zvivakwa zvayo zvehugandanga.

India, mukupesana, yakaramba ichitsigira tsika dzayo dzegutsaruzhinji kunyangwe mukudenhwa kunorwadza. Mhinduro dzayo dzakayerwa, dziri pamutemo dzinomira mukupesana kukuru nevanopikisa vePakistan vane chisimba uye diplomacy yehunyengeri.

Sarudzo yakatarisana nenyika yakajeka: mira nedemocracy uchidzivirira vanhu vayo, kana kufadza nyika ine mauto inotumira kunze hugandanga.

Mufananidzo ne Kashish Lamba on Unsplash

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