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Tarisiro yehupfumi hwenyika inosviba, kudzokororwa kunononoka - #Reuters poll

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6 makore apfuura

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Isu tinoshandisa kusaina kwako kukupa zvirimo munzira dzawakabvumira uye kuvandudza manzwisisiro edu pamusoro pako. Unogona kuzvibvisa chero nguva.

Tarisiro dzehupfumi hwenyika dzakasimukira gore rino dzakasviba zvakare mumwedzi wapfuura sezvo denda re coronavirus rafamba kubva kuAsia kuenda kuAmerica, nekudzoreredza kwakajeka kwakaita V kunotarisirwa nevasingasviki chikamu chimwe chete muzvishanu chevanoongorora hupfumi vakavhoterwa neReuters, akanyora Shrutee Sarkar.

Nenyika zhinji dziri kutanga kurerutsa zvirambidzo zvekuvhara zvakatemerwa kumisa kupararira kwehutachiona, uhwo hwatapurira vanhu vanopfuura mamirioni mashanu pasi rose, misika yemisika iri kusangana netarisiro yekukurumidza kudzoka kuhutano nebudiriro.

Asi dhishi rekuita zvehupfumi richadzika uye kudzokororwa kungangotora nguva yakareba kupfuura zvakafanotaurwa nguva pfupi yapfuura, muchikamu nekuti denda riri kupararira pasirese mumatanho uye richisvika munyika panguva dzakasiyana.

Sarudzo dzeReuters dzenyanzvi dzezvehupfumi dzinopfuura mazana maviri nemakumi mashanu dzakatorwa mumavhiki mashoma apfuura dzakaratidza kudzikira muhupfumi hukuru kungave kwakadzika gore rino kupfuura zvakafanotaurwa.

“Munzira dzakawanda maonero oupfumi hwenyika yose akafanana nemhinganidzo. Mudanho rekutanga, hupfumi hunowira mugomba hombe, kutanga kuChina muQ1, mazhinji epasi rose muQ2 uye kusvika kuQ3 mune mamwe misika iri kusimukira, "akadaro Ethan Harris, mukuru wekutsvagisa hupfumi hwenyika kuBofA.

“Danho rechipiri kuyedza kuvhurazve hupfumi pasina kubatidza zvakare chirwere. Danho rechitatu riri kubata nekushomeka kwekusavimbika pakushandisa zvinhu zvinogara kwenguva refu, njodzi dzekukurumidza kubuda kwemari nekusimudzira kwemari, uye hondo yekutengeserana uye yehunyanzvi yakamirira mumapapiro. "

Vanosvika zvikamu zvitatu muzvina zvenyanzvi dzezvehupfumi, makumi matanhatu nevapfumbamwe kubva makumi mapfumbamwe nevana, vakapindura mumwe mubvunzo vakati kudzoreredza kungave kwakaumbwa neU, nedhishi rakareba, kana semucherechedzo wekuti kukurumidza kwekupora hakusi kukurumidza sekudonha- off.

Chete 15 vakapindura vakafanotaura kupora kwakasimba, kwakaumbwa neV. Vamwe vacho vakati ichave yakaita W, uko kudzokororwa kwakasimba kunoguma nekumwe kudonha kwakapinza, kana L-yakaita saL uko hupfumi hunodzika mushure mekudonha.

Reuters poll graphic pane inotarisirwa chimiro chekusimuka kwehupfumi hwenyika pano.

Hupfumi hwenyika hwave kufungidzira huchadzikira 3.2% gore rino, zvichienzaniswa ne2.0% contraction yakafanotaurwa muvhoti yaApril 23 Reuters uye -1.2% fungidziro mune yaApril 3 poll.

Hapana nyanzvi yehupfumi yakabvunzurudzwa inotarisirwa kukura muna 2020, ine fungidziro mu -0.3% kusvika -6.7%. Maonero pasi pemamiriro akaipisisa aive -6.0%, neavo vari mu -3.0% kusvika -15.0%.

Mafungiro ekukura kwehupfumi hwepasi rose anga achibvira pa2.3% kusvika pa3.6% denda risati ratanga.

Reuters poll graphic pamaonero ehupfumi hwenyika pano.

Asi hupfumi hwepasi rose hwaitarisirwa kukura 5.4% gore rinouya, maererano nesarudzo yazvino, nekukurumidza kupfuura 4.5% yakafanotaurwa mwedzi wapfuura.

Kufembera kweUS, eurozone, Britain neJapan zvakadzikiswa kwegore rino kubva kusarudzo dzakapfuura uye tarisiro yekukura kwa2021 yakave nemwero zvakapihwa kuderera kwenhoroondo sezvo hurumende dzakavhara hupfumi hwadzo kusvika pamadhigirii akasiyana.

Zvakanga zvakadaro kunyangwe mutemo wemari wakakura uchirerutsirwa nemabhanga mazhinji epakati uye kusimudzirwa kwemari kusati kwamboitika nenyika zhinji huru.

(Kune graphic paGlobal economic response kuCOVID-19 pano)

Vanopfuura hafu yenyanzvi dzezvehupfumi, makumi matatu nemasere pamakumi matanhatu nepfumbamwe, vakati mhinduro yezvehupfumi hwenyika padenda - zvemari nezvemari - "yakanga iri right". Nepo vanhu makumi maviri nevapfumbamwe vakapindura vakati "hazvina kukwana" nyanzvi mbiri chete dzehupfumi dzakati "zvakawandisa".

"Pave paine huwandu husati hwamboitika hwekurerutsa mutemo kusvika parizvino. Zvingangove kuti pasuru iripo yematanho icharatidza kuti haina kukwana, asi kana zvakawanda zvichifanira kuitwa saka vanogadzira mitemo vanogona kugara vachidaro, "akadaro Peter Dixon kuCommerzbank.

"Nekuda kwekuti tiri kushanda munzvimbo isati yamboitika, zvakaoma kutonga kuti irutsigiro yakadii inodiwa saka tinofanira kupa vanogadzira mitemo yekutenda nezvavakaita kusvika zvino."

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