20150611BakuEuropeanGamesZaur Shiriyev

Academy Robert Bosch Fellow, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa

Azerbaijan ichatambira Mitambo yekutanga yeEurope kubva 12-28 Chikumi. Mitambo iyi ichaunza kutariswa kwepasi rose uye kuwedzera kuziva nezvematambudziko makuru eCaucasus - kunyanya zvematongerwo enyika, kurwisana kweNagorno-Karabakh uye hukama hwakakanganisika neRussia. Ndivo zvakare vekutanga munhevedzano yezviitiko zvemitambo zveBaku izvo hurumende yeAzerbaijan inotarisira kuti ichavandudza chimiro chenyika uye pesvedzero yepasi rose panguva yakaoma yezvematongerwo enyika, painobatwa pakati pezvinokwikwidza zveRussia neWest.

Kubva 2010, hurumende yeAzerbaijan yakatsvaga hurongwa hwekushandisa mari yakawanda yemari yemafuta, ine chinangwa chekuwedzera chimiro cheguta guru uye kusimudzira chimiro chenyika sechiMuslim asi nyika yakasimukira. Guta iri richaitawo mujaho weFormula One muna 2016, iyo Islamic Solidarity Games muna 2017, uye iguta rinotambira panguva yeEuropean Soccer Championship muna 2020.

Pane humwe humbowo hwekubudirira kwekutanga − Kutambira kwaBaku 2012 Eurovision Song Contest yaive nguva yakakosha yekubatanidza nyika netsika dzekuMadokero, uye maererano neimwe ongororo kubva kuCaucasus Barometer, rutsigiro rwemunyika yenhengo dzeEU rwakawedzera ne50 muzana. zvichitevera makwikwi.

Asi kwavewo nekudzokera shure. Kuwedzera kufarira kwenhau munyika kwaita kuti masangano akazvimirira pamwe nevanorwira kodzero dzevanhu vanoshora hurumende vatepfenyure mashoko avo zvakanyanya. Izvi zvakaita kuti pave nekutsoropodza kukuru kwenyika dzakawanda kwezvinyorwa zvegutsaruzhinji zveAzerbaijan; vachipindura, vakuru veBaku vakapomera vezvenhau vekuMadokero nekutsvaga 'anti-Azerbaijani' mushandirapamwe.

Kuwedzera kwakavimbiswa kwekuyerera kwevashanyi uye mikana yehupfumi yemabhizinesi madiki nepakati zvakare yakanonoka kuenda. Kunyangwe mahotera akawanda eumbozha, maresitorendi, nenzvimbo dzekudyira dzakavhurwa mitambo isati yatanga, zvirambidzo zvemavhiza hazvina kusunungurwa zvakakwana kukwezva nhamba dzinodiwa.

Uye nepo chikamu chikuru chehuwandu kusvika parizvino chakatsigira kubatwa kwezviitiko zvepasirese, kuderera kwakanyanya kwemitengo yemafuta uye kuderedzwa kwechiAzerbaijani manat kwakaunza kutsoropodzwa kweruzhinji, kunyanya mushure mekunge zvabuda kuti Baku aibhadhara pekugara uye mari yekufambisa. yevatambi venyika dziri kutora chikamu.

Geopolitical issues

Nguva yeMitambo inouya panguva yakaoma. Mutemo weRussia ane hukasha muUkraine wakaratidza nyaya dzekutendeseka kwenzvimbo mudunhu uye kuchengetedzwa kwesimba reEuropean. Kudiwa kweEurope kune dzimwe nzira dzekushandisa gasi reRussia zvinoreva kuti Southern Gas Corridor - iyo yaizounza gasi kubva kuCaspian Sea kuenda kuEurope kuburikidza neAzerbaijan, ichipfuura Russia - yakakosha kupfuura nakare kose kuEU neAzerbaijan.

Baku aitarisira kuti kutorwa kweCrimea uye kushorwa kweRussia pasi rose kwaizotungamira kuwedzera kutariswa kwenyaya yeAzerbaijan yekuvimbika kwenzvimbo pamusoro peNagorno-Karabakh. Asi nhevedzano yezviitiko zvepamusoro-soro yakaunza kutariswa kweimwe mhando: yakawedzera kuongororwa kwepasirese kwezvimbo zvedemokrasi yeAzerbaijan. Kusagutsikana kuri kuwedzera kwaBaku nenyika dzekuMadokero kwaunza mamiriro ezvinhu asina kunaka apo dzidziso dzekurangana dzakawanda: kunyanya kuti mushandirapamwe wekurwisa Azerbaijan uri kuitwa kubva kuhofisi yeMunyori weUnited States of State John Kerry. Hofisi yeOSCE munyika yavharwa nehurumende zvichitevera kubuda kwemasangano akazvimirira oga aitsigirwa nenyika dzekumavirira. Kuburitswa kwenhau dzepasi rose kwenyaya dzekodzero dzevanhu muAzerbaijan kwakonzera kushoropodzwa mudzimba kweEU neUS, izvo zvakazoita kuti Mutungamiri Ilham Aliyev varamwe kumusangano weEU weEastern Partnership Summit muRiga muna Chivabvu. Kumwe kutsoropodza kwenyika dzakawanda kwehurumende yeAzerbaijani kunogona kukonzera kusagutsikana kukuru neMadokero; izvi, zvakare, zvichasimbisa simba reRussia munyika uye munzvimbo yakakura.

Kunzvenga mhirizhonga

Zvese izvi ndeimwe ratidziro yekuti zviitiko zvikuru zvemitambo netsika hazviunze zvematongerwo enyika kune nyika dzine chinangwa chekubva kuRussia uye kuswedera pedyo neEurope. Hurumende dzingaite zvakanaka kurangarira kunetsana kuripo pakati peEurope nekunyadziswa kwaViktor Yanukovych kuUkraine muna 2012 apo yakakoka makwikwi eEuropean Football Championships. Izvi zvakawedzera kukanganisa, pane kuwedzera, kubatanidzwa kweUkraine muEurope.

Kune akati wandei pro-active policy mhinduro iyo West inogona kuita kubatsira Azerbaijan kutiza dambudziko rakafanana. Kuferefeta kweEuropean Commission mukutorwa kweAzerbaijan kweGreek gas transmission system operator kuri kukanganisa kufambira mberi paTrans-Adriatic Pipeline - chikamu chakakosha cheSouthern Gas Corridor. Zvingave mukufarira mativi ese kuti EU igadzirise izvi mukufarirwa neAzerbaijan. Nekusiyana nyika dzekuMadokero dzinofanirwa kusimbaradza nhamburiko dzayo pakugadzirisa gakava reNagorno-Karabakh, semuenzaniso nekufambisa musangano pakati pemapurezidhendi eAzerbaijan neArmenian, inogona kuitwa padanho repurezidhendi muUS; kana kutsigira matanho ekuvaka chivimbo ekuvakazve kuvimba nekuita nyaya huru yevasungwa vehondo.