Keir Giles

Batanidza Shamwari, Dhipatimendi Rekuchengetedza Dzepasi Pose uye Russia neEurasia Chirongwa

Muzvinafundo Philip Hanson OBE

Batanidza Shamwari, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa

Rt Hon Sir Roderi Lyne

Mutevedzeri waSachigaro, Chatham House; Adviser, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa

James Nixey

Musoro, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa

James Sherr

Batanidza Shamwari, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa

Sir Andrew Wood

Batanidza Shamwari, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa

Nyika dzekuMadokero hadzisati dzatora zvizere zvinorehwa nekudzika kweRussia muudzvanyiriri hwenyika. Chirevo chitsva chinopikisa hurumende dzekuMadokero dzinoda kufunga zvakadzama nezvedanho ravo rekutsigira Ukraine; nzira yekupindura nayo kumatambudziko emangwana; uye pamusoro pezvose, kuti Russia inogona kutungamirirwa sei pamusoro penguva yakareba yekuchengeteka kukuru kweEurope.

Pfupiso yemazano

Chikonzero chikuru chedambudziko rakaunzwa kunyika dzekuMadokero neRussia chiri mubudiriro yemukati menyika, uye kutadza kwayo kuwana nzira inogutsa yebudiriro zvichitevera kuparara kweSoviet Union. Vladimir Putin nedenderedzwa rake havana kufanana neRussia nevanhu vayo, uye zvavanofarira hazvienderane. Nyika dzekuMadokero hadzina chishuwo kana nzira yekusimudzira, kana kuti nyaya iyi kudzivirira, shanduko yehutongi muRussia. Asi nyika dzekuMadokero dzinofanirwa kufunga mhedzisiro inogona kuitika yekuguma kwemhirizhonga kune Putin system.

Nyika dzekuMadokero dzinoda kuvandudza nekushandisa hurongwa hwakajeka uye hwakabatana kuRussia. Sezvinobvira, zano iri rinofanirwa kunge richibva pane yakajairwa transatlantic uye European ongororo yezvechokwadi zveRussia. Kunyanya, mutemo unofanirwa kutora humbowo hwemaitiro eRussia, kwete pane zviri nyore kana zvefashoni rondedzero.

Sezvakatsanangurwa zvakadzama muChinyorwa cheMutungamiriri pakutanga kwechinyorwa chino, zano rekuMadokero rinoda kusanganisa zvinangwa zvakajeka zvinotevera, uye kumisa nzira dzenguva pfupi uye kugona kwenguva refu kuti zvibudirire:

Strategic zvinangwa zvekuMadokero

  • Kudzivisa uye kumanikidza kumanikidza neRussia kurwisa vavakidzani vayo vekuEurope, kwenguva yakareba sezvinodiwa, asi kwete kudhirowa mitsara yekuparadzanisa. Mukova unofanira kuchengetwa wakavhurika kuti mutangezve kubatanidzwa kana mamiriro ezvinhu achinja. Izvi hazvigone kutarisirwa nekuvimba chero pasi paPutin.
  • Kudzoreredza kuvimbika kweEuropean chengetedzo system yakavakirwa pahuchangamire, kutendeseka kwenzvimbo uye kodzero yenyika kuti dzitarise mafambiro adzo.
  • Kuti uwane nzira dziri nani dzekutaura kune hurumende yeRussia uye vanhu kuti zviri mukuda kwavo kwenguva refu yenyika kuva chikamu chemitemo-based Europe, kwete yega yedunhu hegemon.
  • Kutsanangura mitemo yekuMadokero nguva dzose uye nguva dzose muhurukuro neChina, uye kune dzimwe nyika dzaimbova dzeSoviet, dzakawanda dzine chikonzero chekunetseka pamusoro pemitemo yeRussia, kana vachizvibvuma kana kuti kwete.
  • Kugadzirira matambudziko nemikana iyo inozoratidzwa nekuchinja kwehutungamiriri muRussia.
  • Kwete kuparadzanisa vanhu veRussia. Hazvisi mukuda kwekuMadokero kubatsira Putin kuvabvisa kubva kunze kwenyika.

Zvinangwa zvepolicy

  • Kuvakwazve kweUkraine senyika inoshanda yakazvimirira, inokwanisa kuzvimiririra, kwakakosha. Izvi zvinoda kuiswa kwekuedza kukuru kupfuura zvave zvichiitika kusvika zvino.
  • EU's Eastern Partnership inofanirwa kushandurwa kuita chishandiso chinosimbisa hutongi uye hupfumi hwenyika dzinodyidzana dzakaratidza kuda kuita shanduko yakakomba yezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi.
  • Kushanda kwezvirango kuRussia kunoenderana nekugara kwavo pamwe nekuomarara. Kusvikira nyaya yekutyorwa kwenharaunda yeUkraine yagadziriswa zvizere, zvirango zvinofanirwa kuramba zviripo. Iko kuzvikunda kubatanidza kusimudzwa kwezvirango nekushandiswa kwezvibvumirano zvisina kugadzirwa uye zvisina kusimba zveMinsk.
  • Nyika dzekuMadokero hadzifanirwe kudzokera ku'bhizinesi semazuva ese' muhukama hwakadzama nevakuru veRussia kudzamara pave nekugadziriswa kunogamuchirwa kwekupokana kweUkraine uye kutevedzera neRussia nezvisungo zvayo zvepamutemo zvepasi rose.
  • Sangano remagetsi reEU rinofanira kuva nechinangwa chekunyima Russia simba rezvematongerwo enyika mumisika yemagetsi, pane kubvisa Russia kubva musanganiswa weEuropean supply.
  • Nyika dzekuMadokero dzinoda kuisa mari mukudzivirira nzira dzekutaurirana uye nerutsigiro rwenhau kuitira kurwisa nganonyorwa dzeKremlin.
  • NATO inofanirwa kuchengetedza kuvimbika kwayo sechidziviriro kumhirizhonga yeRussia. Kunyanya, inofanirwa kuratidza kuti hondo shoma haigoneke uye kuti mhinduro kuhondo 'yakajeka' kana 'yehybrid' ichave yakasimba.
  • Kugona kwakajairika kudzivirira kunofanirwa kudzoserwa sekuchimbidza uye kufambiswa zvine chokwadi, kudzivirira kuunza Russia neinokoka zvinangwa.
  • Nyika dzenhengo dzeEU imwe neimwe uye EU yese inoda kuvandudza kugona kwavo kuongorora nekunzwisisa zviri kuitika muRussia nenyika dzakavakidzana. Kunzwisisa uku kunofanirwa kushandiswa sehwaro hwekuumbwa kwegwaro.

Hukama hweParamende yeEurope neRussia