Swiss franc inosvika kudenga sechando chinodonha paDavos

Whew! Ndakabuda nguva ichiripo. Vhiki mbiri dzapfuura ndaiva kuDavos, ndichitsvedza pasi nevamwe vaimbova MP vekuBritain neSwitzerland. Kwemakumi matanhatu emakore eUK neSwitzerland vezvematongerwo enyika nemakurukota, vakasiya basa kana vanoshanda, vanga vachisangana kwevhiki pamateru. Vese vanobhadhara nzira yavo asi iyo chairlift diplomacy inotora nzvimbo inobatsira kuumba imwe yehukama hwakasimba hwepakati-paramende huripo pakati pehuviri hwehutongi hwegutsaruzhinji munyika.

Ikozvino Davos yave kudhura zvakanyanya. Sarudzo yakangoerekana yaitwa neSwiss National Bank (SNB) yekubvisa Swiss franc kubva kuEuro yanga iri imwe yekugumbura kukuru pamisika yeforex mumakore. Nechekare mafemu aifanira kumira kutengeserana sezvo akabatwa padivi risiri iro rekukurumidza kusimuka kweSwitzerland franc.

Sezvo paive netarisiro yekuti mabhanga nemamwe mafemu ebasa rezvemari aive achisiya kusagadzikana kweiyo post-2008 era, sarudzo yeSwitzerland yakaburitsa misoro pamusoro pehondo dzemari itsva.

Vhiki rapfuura €1 yakatenga CHF 1.20 muyero wakasarudzwa muna 2011 sezvo Switzerland yakazadzwa nemaEuro apo vanhu vaitsvaga pekugara kubva mudambudziko reEurozone. Ikozvino euro yakaenzana neSwiss franc - kuongororwa kwe20 muzana kwemari yeAlpine. Vatori vechikamu veWorld Economic Forum vakatobhadhara kuti vagare asi kubva kutanga kwaFebruary Davos, Zermatt neVerbier zvichadhura zvakanyanya.

Vatengesi vekunze vekuSwitzerland vakatsamwa sezvo nehusiku mutengo weSwatch, chokoreti yeSwitzerland kana mishonga wakakwira ne20 muzana. Kushanya kweSwitzerland kuchaona kudonha kwevatengi kunyanya sevanhu vekuRussia vanga vari mutsigiri mukuru webhizinesi revashanyi reSwitzerland mumakore achangopfuura vari kutogara kure nekuda kweiyo ruble isina simba.

Kune kuvhunduka kuEast Europe uko mbavha dzeSwiss francs pamitengo yakaderera yakajairika asi nehusiku humwe hudzoro hwepamwedzi hwakawedzera kudhura. Mabhanga eCroatia aramba zano rehurumende muZagreb rekugadzirisa chiyero pakati pefranc neCroatia kuna. Hurumende yePoland yakaraira kubvunzurudzwa pamusoro pemutengo we zloty-franc sezvo vane hasha vanobata mbavha vanogona kuvhota hurumende yeCivic Platform sezvo mubhadharo wavo wepamwedzi uchikwira zvakanyanya.

SNB yakavimbisa kutenga euro kuchengetedza mbambo uye kunyange kubhadharisa mabhanga muripo - mubereko wakashata - kuisa mari kubhangi renyika. Nechiziviso chemazuva ano chekurerutsa neEuropean Central Bank chingangotungamira kune yakaderera euro kuvhima kwekuchengetedza mari yakachengeteka kwakawedzera kusimba uye zvakave zvisingaite kuti SNB irambe ichitenga maeuro.

Munyika inogara Mont Pélerin Society yakagadzirwa kukudza dzidziso yaFriedrich Hayek naMilton Friedman, zvainzwika sezvisinganzwisisike kubikisa musika nekusarudza kukosha kwemari vakazvimirira kune avo vaida kuitenga.

Izvo zvakati uku kuparadzaniswa kukuru kweSwitzerland kubva kune ese maEuro ayo vachishandisa vavakidzani. Berne achangobva kusaina chibvumirano chekuzivisa mutero neRome uye pamwe nezvibvumirano zvakafanana nedzimwe nyika huru dzeEurope uye neWashington, mazuva apo kuhwanda kwebhangi reSwitzerland ndiko kwaive chikonzero chikuru mukuwedzera kune tsika dzebhanga dzakachengetedza dzakakwezva hukuru hwemashure ehondo huri zvakanaka uye. zvapera zvechokwadi.

Panguva ino gore rapfuura Switzerland yakavhota kuisa chivharo pahuwandu hwevagari veEU vanogona kuuya kuzoshanda kana kugara muSwitzerland. 34 muzana yehuwandu hweSwitzerland ndeyekutanga kana yechipiri chizvarwa vanobva kune imwe nzvimbo muEurope. Pamusoro pese veSwiss vakabata dambudziko revanhu vekunze vanouya munyika zvakasimba asi zvakanaka.

Izvi zviri kuchinja. Kana muBritain kana France mutorwa weEU achionekwa semushandi asingabhadharwi zvakanaka muSwitzerland kwaitove kuwanda kwenyanzvi dzinotaura chiGerman uye mari yeGerman kutenga dzimba nedzimba izvo zvakamutsa kutsamwa.

Iye zvino Switzerland inofanirwa kutsvaga nzira yekugadzirisa kuramba kwayo musimboti weEU musimboti wenguva yemahara yevanhu. Brussels pamwe nenhengo makumi maviri nesere nyika dzakajekesa Switzerland haigone kutaurira unilaterally mamiriro ehukama hwayo neEU. Kana mabhanga eSwiss nemafemu achida mukana wakazara wemusika kuvhurika kuEU saka maSwiss anofanira kubvuma kupinda kweEU kuSwitzerland.

Kusvika svondo rapfuura, sarudzo yeSwiss immigrant cap yaive nyaya yekukurukurirana bi-lateral nhaurirano naBern kana Brussels vachitsvaga show-pasi. Ikozvino kuti SNB yapedza chinongedzo kueuro muedzo wevazhinji veGerman uye vagari vekuchamhembe kweEurope vane ndangariro dzemari dzakaomarara dzakachengeta kukosha kwadzo kungave kuvharira nekuchinja kuenda kuSwiss francs. Hukama hweSwitzerland neEU hunoda kunyatsobatwa mushure mesarudzo yeSNB.

Switzerland inotumira kunze hafu yeGDP yayo uye inopinza 40%. Vatengesi veSwiss kunze kwenyika vajaira iyo €1-CHF1.20 link uye zvino vachapokana pamusoro pemitengo yekuchaja zvinhu nemasevhisi. Gumi muzana reSwitzerland GDP rakavakirwa pakutengeserana kwezvinhu uye nekudzikira kwemitengo yesimbi, oiri, uye zvimwe zvinhu zvinotengeswa pasi rose hazvina kujeka kuti de-pegging franc ichaita sei chikamu ichi chakura kuve chakanyanya kukosha kuSwitzerland. kupfuura kushanya mumakore achangopfuura.

Ko maGreek, maPutukezi, maItalian nemaSpaniards zvino vachayedzwa kuendesa euro yavo kuenda kuSwiss francs seinishuwarenzi kune mamwe matambudziko eeurozone?

Nzira yekukasira iyo SNB yakazivisa danho rayo kwaive kudzosera kumashure mazuva apo hurumende yakasarudza shanduko mumari yenyika panguva yepre-ERM uye euros. Iyo Swiss franc ichikwira zvakanyanya inogona kuzvimba zvipfuva zveAlpine nekudada asi danho hariwedzere kugadzikana kuhurongwa hwezvemari hweEurope sesarudzo dzeGreece uye danho guru reECB pakurerutsira mari kutanga 2015 nemusoro kuEurope uye nharaunda yemabhangi yakakura.

VaDenis MacShane ndivo vaimbova gurukota reUK kuEurope.

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