Kudhirowa kwekucheka kwaPutin kana chiratidzo chehondo: #KAVKAZ-2020

Apo Putin akava "tzar" yeRussia yose, izvi zvakatanga nzira yekugadzira USSR. Iwe unoona, Putin anoda kutsiva, pamwe nekuda kwehudiki hwake husipo. Pamwe imhaka yekuti haana kuwana mavhitaminzi akakwana achiri mudiki, kana kuti zvimwe zvakakonzerwa nekuoma kwezvimbuzi zvepachikoro cheCheka, anonyora Reserve Sergenat weLatvian National Guard Augusts Augustiņš.

Ndakatotaura nezve zvishuvo zveropa zvaPutin maererano neBaltic states mune yangu chinyorwa chakaburitswa pietiek.com Iyo Kremlin iri kugadzirira Trojan mbatatisi yeBaltic: chirongwa People's Republic of Vitebsk, asi ichi handicho chega chidimbu chepuzzle mune zano remauto raPutin. Haana kumbovanza chokwadi chekuti anoda kuti Russia ive nesimba seSoviet Union, asi izvi hazvigoneke pasina Eastern Europe, kusanganisira nyika dzeBaltic, dzakarasika muna 1991. Zvinenge zvese zvinodiwa zvinodiwa zvakazadzikiswa. chinhu chimwe chete chasara kuita ndechekuvimbisa kupesana neNATO's Article 5. Zvinogoneka izvi zvichaitwa nekugadzira People's Republic of Vitebsk munzvimbo yakananga yeLatvia neLithuania. Putin anoziva kuti hapana munhu, kunyanya Old Europe, achada kutarisana kwemauto neRussia.

Ndicho chikonzero apo Russia yakatarisana nemamwe matambudziko emumba, tinomanikidzwa kushivirira kuwedzera kwenyika yePutin yeRussia nekudhura kwedzimwe nyika nharaunda. Ichi ndicho chikonzero Moldova ine Transnistria, Georgia ine South Ossetia neAbkhazia, Ukraine ine Luhansk neDonetsk “people’s republic”, ukuwo Armenia neAzerbaijan dzine Nagorno-Karabakh. Uye zvino zvinoita sekunge Belarus inogona kuwana chimwe chinhu zvakare. Mazhinji eaya emanyepo-nyika akasimbiswa panguva yeRussia mauto ekudzidzira kana imwe nguva mushure.

Putin haazokwanisi kuzadzisa chiroto chake kana nhengo dzeCIS nyika imwe neimwe yakafuratira Kremlin. Putin haadi kuti izvi zviitike, saka anoita zvese zvaanogona kudzosa nyika dzakarasika uye dzinofungirwa mushure meSoviet Union pamwe nenyika dzadzo munzvimbo yake yesimba, asingashandisi simba rakapfava uye propaganda chete, asi mauto zvakare - kana zvose izvi panguva imwe chete - kuitira kuti utange hondo yakasanganiswa. Tingave sei nechokwadi kuti izvi hazviitike panguva yekudzidzira kwechiuto KAVKAZ-2020 munaSeptember?

Kuwedzerwa kweCrimea muenzaniso wakanaka wehondo yakabudirira yehybrid iyo inoratidzawo zvishuvo nezvinangwa zvaPutin. Iyo Crimean Peninsula ndechimwe chezvinhu zvakakosha zvinodiwa naPutin kuti awane izvo zvaisagonekwa naHitler, kana Stalin. Zvino, kuti Putin atora Crimea, akaishandura kuita nhare isingaputsike iyo ichava kwenguva yakareba musoro mukuru kuSouthern Europe.

Musoro uyu unozopera chete kana hutongi hweRussia hwaparara. Crimea yakakosha kuKremlin saka inogona kutanga kurova kwemauto kuUkraine, kutonga nyika dziri pedyo dzeEU neNATO, kupa rubatsiro kuhurumende dzehama muSyria, Libya neBalkan uye dzimwe nguva kuratidza mazino ayo kuTurkey. Iyo Caspian Flotilla yekuRussia yakambopfura zvipfuro pazvakananga muSyria, uye ikozvino ndiyo yeBlack Sea Fleet's (BSF) kutendeuka kuratidza mhasuru dzayo.

Mushure mekutorwa kweCrimea, BSF yave yakakosha kuRussia. Mukati memakore mashanu apfuura, BSF yakagamuchira mari yakawanda yekugadzirisa, kudzorera zvombo, kuvandudza uye kuvaka kwezvikepe zvehondo zvehondo, uye izvi hazvina kumira zvakanaka kuEastern Europe. Iyo BSF ine zvingangoita gumi neshanu zvikepe zvine zvombo Calibr zvombo zvinokandwa zvinogona kugadzirwa nezvombo zvenyukireya zvine huwandu hunosvika makiromita 2,600. Kuti zvipfurwa zvinogona kurova gonhi redanga inyaya yakasiyana.

Imhaka yezvipombi izvi izvo chibvumirano cheIntermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty chakasainwa neUS neRussia chisisashande. Uyezve, pane Tu-22M3 Strategic bombers uye su-34 mabhomba ehunyanzvi akamiswa muCrimea anokwanisa kutakura zvombo zvenyukireya. Zvinonzi magaba emarara anobhururuka aya achavandudzwa munguva pfupi iri kutevera. Zvitakuri zviviri zveherikoputa zviri kuvakwawo muCrimea, uye Putin akavimbisa kuti izvi zvichave zvikepe zvakasiyana. Propaganda yeKremlin yakataura kuti Putin pachake akanga asvika kuzoisa zvikepe zvezvikepe izvi, zvichiratidza kukosha kwezvirongwa izvi uye kusimbisa zvinangwa zveRussia zvehasha kuchengetedza Europe yese mukutya.

Pasinei ne1949 Geneva Kokorodzano inogadza zviyero zvekubatsira vanhu munguva yehondo, Russia haina dambudziko rekutora vagari venzvimbo yakatorwa yeRussia Armed Forces. Propaganda iri kutenderera muCrimea Peninsula kuti ibatane nemauto, BSF uye mamwe masimba emagetsi.

Zvinosuruvarisa, iyi propaganda ndeye yakanangana nekuwanisa pfungwa dzevana nepwere, uye vana vari “kudzidziswa” kuda nyika yeRussia yaPutin yatova mukireshi. Semuenzaniso, panguva yemhemberero dzeZuva reBSF muSevastopol vana vaibvumirwa kutarisa uye kubata midziyo yemauto yeBSF. Hutongi hwaPutin hunoita izvi kuti ive nechokwadi chekuti peninsula inoramba iri chikamu cheRussia, pamwe nekuchengetedza nzvimbo yese yeBlack Sea iri pasi pe "kushushikana zvishoma". Pamusoro pezvo, zviboorero zvakakura zviri kuitwa pano zvakada kufanana neBSF kugadzirira kurwisa uye hazvina chekuita nekudzivirira.

Zvinogoneka kuti dunhu rino richave nzvimbo yekuzvarwa yenjodzi yese yatakayeverwa nezvayo nepro-Kremlin media media uye internet troll, kusanganisira Baba Vanga, nekuti mauto eCrimea ari kuitika nekukurumidza uye BSF iri kuita zvisingaverengeki. maekisesaizi echiuto.

Uye maekisesaizi makuru KAVKAZ-2020 urongwad munaGunyana gore rino zvichave zvakadaro. Zvichida ichi ndicho chikonzero chezviitiko zviri kuitika muBelarus uye zvichida ichi ndicho chikonzero Putin ari kuisa mauto ake pedyo nemiganhu yeUkraine nekutumira matangi makolamu imwe pashure peimwe kune noushamwari vanozviti Chechen vanhu republic muEastern Ukraine. Uyezve, muchidimbu pamberi pezviitiko zveBelarus, hukama "hushamwari" pakati peArmenia neAzerbaijan hwakangoerekana hwawedzera. Haisi chakavanzika kuti Putin anorota nezveUkraine - kana isiri iyo nyika yese, saka chikamu chayo. Mumusangano wevatori venhau, mudzvanyiriri achangoitwa akayeuchidza maUkraine kuti "Nzvimbo yeGungwa Dzvuku (Причерноморье) kubvira kare kare akanga ari evaRussia”, nokudaro achizivisa nyika yose nezvezvirongwa zvake zvokuteura ropa. Pane chero munhu anorangarira zvakataurwa naPutin neveKremlin nezve Latvia nedunhu reBaltic?

Tinogona kuva nechokwadi chekuti pro-Kremlin separatists ichave inoshanda muBelarus neEastern Ukraine zvisati zvaitika KAVKAZ-2020. Nenzira, izvi zvakatotanga. Zvingangoita kuti vanhu vekuUkraine vachasangana nekutsamwisa muKherson, Odessa neDonetsk oblasts.

Zvinogoneka kuti panguva yezviitwa izvi maPutin's cutthroats achaedza kubatana neCrimea neKadyrov-akagarwa Donbass. Izvi zvaizorerutsa nekuvandudza zvinhu nekucheka Ukraine kubva kuGungwa reAzov. Uye mushure me "exercise" Putin aizopedzisira ave kukwanisa kupa vagari veCrimea yakagarwa nemvura inopisa uye inotonhora. Iyoyo ingava imwe hero yekuratidzira propaganda!

Putin anoda kumwe kukakavara kuti avandudze zviyero zvake mumaziso evanhu veRussia - hondo diki inokunda Russia uye umo BSF yaigona kuita basa rekusarudza. Zvirinani Putin pachake anofunga kudaro.

Tichifunga nezve zviri kuitika muBelarus, zvakakodzera kufunga nezve Achilles 'chitsitsinho cheBaltics, kureva kuti Suwalki gap, nokuti kumativi ose maviri ekoridho iyi kune Russia, nepo NATO iri pakati. Kana tikafunga nezvazvo, Kaliningrad Oblast ingori muzinda wemauto eRussia uye hapana chimwe - uye zvakafanana neCrimea.

Zvese izvi chokwadi uye chokwadi chakakasharara zvinotipa kunzwisisa kuti sei Putin achida Crimea uye nei aizoda imwe ine hukasha pro-Kremlin republic yeBelarus pedyo nemiganhu yeLatvia neLithuania.

PS Putin agara achiita izvo vamwe vaisambotarisira. Zvose NATO neEU iye zvino "zviri kuita" munyaya iyi hazvina maturo, nokuti hakuna munhu muOld Europe anoda kubvuma zvachose kuti hutongi hwaPutin ndiyo axis yezvakaipa, regai kuzivisa hondo neRussian Federation. Zviri pachena kuti NATO neEU vari kurwisa mhedzisiro, kwete chikonzero. Pane imwe nguva, munhu wose akatamba naHitler; uye isu takatokanganwira Stalin - uye isu tichiri kusvika nhasi tisingakwanisi kubata nemigumisiro yezviito zvedu.