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Isa mabheti ako e #Brexit rate kukwira

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Isu tinoshandisa kusaina kwako kukupa zvirimo munzira dzawakabvumira uye kuvandudza manzwisisiro edu pamusoro pako. Unogona kuzvibvisa chero nguva.

Kunzwa dzimwe nyanzvi dzezvehupfumi dzichitaura, Bhanga reEngland rave kuda kuita chikanganiso chikuru - kukwidza mitengo yemubereko sezvo hupfumi huchapinda mune rinogona kunge riri dutu guru, akanyora Jeremy Gaunt.

Kana zvese zvikafamba sezvakanyorwa, bhangi richakwira mari yekukwereta muvhiki rinouya kekutanga mumakore anopfuura gumi. Asi nyika yakagadzirira here?

Chibvumirano ndechekukwira ku0.5% kubva pa0.25%.

Iyo 0.25% ndiyo iyo BoE yakaisa Bank Rate ichangopfuura gore rapfuura, nguva pfupi mushure mekunge vavhoti veBritish vasarudza kubuda muEuropean Union. Uye pane rub: kusavimbika kwevhoti yakakonzerwa ichiripo.

Ongororo yeReuters yakaburitswa svondo rapfuura yakaratidza vanopfuura makumi manomwe muzana vezvehupfumi vanotenda ikozvino haisi nguva yekukwidza mitengo - kunyangwe zvishoma pane izvo zvakati zvichaitika zvakadaro.

Gavhuna weBoE Mark Carney akajekesa kuti kukwira kuri kuitika, kana zvisiri kutaura zvakananga pamusangano unouya.

Chinomunetsa ndechekuti kushomeka kwemabasa kunoreva kuti hupfumi hweBritain hune hushoma hwekugona uye, nekudaro, hwakatarisana nekukwira kwemitengo. Kuwedzera kune izvo mafambiro emamwe mabhanga makuru ekudzoreredza mutemo wemari wakasununguka, izvo zvinogonawo kukwidza inflation nekudzikisira pondo.

Sangano reUS Federal Reserve rakakwidza mitengo kanokwana kana kubva mukupera kwa2015 uye inotarisirwa kuita izvi zvakare. IEuropean Central Bank iri kuderedza kutenga kwayo bond, kunyangwe zvinyoro.

Saka BoE inoda kuzvinetsa pachayo nepondo yakamanikidzwa uye basa rakakwirira rinokwidza inflation iyo, pa3%, yatove pamusoro pechinangwa uye chepamusoro-soro muBoka reMamwe nyika dzakabudirira.

Asi zvakapesana neizvozvo kusavimbika kukuru kwezvematongerwo enyika nezvehupfumi pamusoro pekuti kubuda kweBritain muEU kuchaita sei.

Makambani haanyatso kujeka nezve zvekurongera, kubva pakuchinja kushoma kwenguva pfupi kusvika pakuchinja kwakazara pamabatiro avanoita bhizinesi.

Vatengi zvakare vanongwarira sezvo, nepo hupfumi hweBritain husina kumboenda pamawere, hwave nekuzununguka.

Kutengesa kwekutengesa, semuenzaniso, kwakabvumiranwa pamwedzi wega wega munaGunyana uye yaive yakakwira 1.2% gore-pa-gore maringe ne4.1% gore rapfuura.

Nhamba dzekutanga dzechitatu-kota dzekukura muvhiki rapfuura, panguva iyi, dzaive nani pane zvaitarisirwa. Asi pa1.5% gore-pagore ivo vari pazasi-pre-Brexit vhoti mazinga uye zvakanyanya kuderera zvese United States uye eurozone.

Izvi zvakapa kuti dzimwe nyanzvi dzezvehupfumi dzitaure kuti Carney neBoE vave kuda "kuita Trichet" - vachiratidza kukwidzwa kwemitengo kwemutungamiri weECB panguva iyoyo Jean-Claude Trichet muna 2008 apo dambudziko remari rakanga richirova.

Aimbove mugadziri wemitemo weBoE Danny Blanchflower - akavhota achipesana nekufamba kwekupedzisira kweBoE muna 2007, uye agara achitsoropodza mazano ekusimbisa mutemo kubvira - anga achishusha nezvepfungwa yekukwira kuUK izvozvi.

"Hapana mu data chero chinoti panofanirwa kukwira chiyero," akadaro tweeted.

BoE haisi yega bhanga guru rinokurukura mutemo. Bhangi reJapan richazivisa sarudzo dzayo neChipiri (31 Gumiguru).

Deflation - dambudziko guru rehupfumi muJapan kweakawanda emakore makumi maviri apfuura - rapera, asi inflation iri kure nekudzika midzi, ichikamhina ne 20% chete gore negore.

Hupfumi zvakare hwave kuderera, neInternational Monetary Fund inofanotaura kukura kwe1.5% gore rino, kunyangwe iko kuri kuvandudzwa kubva muna 2016.

Nyaya hombe pakati penyanzvi dzezvehupfumi maererano neBoJ ndeyekuti inofanirwa kuburitsa hurongwa hwayo hwekusiya mutemo wayo wemari wakasununguka.

"Tiri kutarisira shanduko huru shoma mugwaro remari," Katsunori Kitakura, anotungamira Strategist kuSuMi TRUST, akanyora mutsamba. "Maonero epakati pehupfumi hweJapan haana kunyanya kushanduka kubva pamusangano wekupedzisira wezvematongerwo enyika saka BoJ inogona kuchengetedza chimiro."

Zvichisimbisa izvi, sarudzo dzeReuters dzinoratidza kuti BoJ haisi kuzotanga kudzoreredza kurudziro yayo yemari kusvika kupera kwegore rinouya pakutanga - rudzi rwemaonero asina kujeka ekuti BoE's Carney ingangove nechikonzero chekuitira godo svondo risati rabuda.

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