#Brexit-wary Bank yeEngland inosiya mitengo yakamira, inoderedza fungidziro yekukura

Bhanga reEngland rakachengeta mhindu yakaderera zvakare nemusi weChina uye, ichiona Brexit ichiremedza hupfumi, yakacheka fungidziro yayo yekukura uye mihoro. Maonero akashata kwemakore maviri anotevera akawedzera kudzikisa fungidziro mumisika yemari yekuti BoE inogona kunge iri pedyo nekukwira kwayo kwekutanga mumakore gumi.

Gavhuna Mark Carney zvakadaro akatsvaga kuchengetedza mukana wegore rinotevera.

Vati kusava nechokwadi nezveBrexit - kunyanya kuderera kwekudyara nemakambani - zvinoreva kuti hupfumi hahugone kukura nekukurumidza sepakutanga pasina kukwidza inflation. Saka, kungovandudza kudiki mukukura kunogona kuunza kumberi kukwira kwereti.

"Muganho wekumhanya, kana uchida, wehupfumi hwadzikira," akaudza vatori venhau. "Izvo ... zvinogona kuva nemigumisiro yemutemo wezvemari, zvichienderana nekushanduka kwekuda."

Asi vatengesi havana kuona chiratidzo chokuti BoE yakanga iri kukurumidza kukwidza mitengo, kusiyana kwakasiyana nemigumisiro yemusangano wayo wekupedzisira munaJune apo misika yaifunga kuti kukwira kunenge kwave pedyo.

Pondo yakaderera nemwedzi mipfumbamwe maringe ne euro uye yakaderera neinopfuura cent pamadhora ekuAmerica. Migove yakakwira uye mitengo yebhondi yehurumende yeBritain yakakwira.

Mabhanga epakati pasirese akanetsekana kubvisa hupfumi hwavo kubva mukurudziro yemubereko wepasi-pasi, zvakanyanya nekuda kwekusasimba kwemuhoro wevashandi.

BoE yakatarisana nedambudziko rakawedzera rekubuda kweBritain muEuropean Union, uye kusaziva kwayo kukanganisa hupfumi hweBritain.

Bhanga iri rinoti pari zvino riri kutarisira kuti hupfumi hwenyika husimukire nechikamu chimwe nemazana manomwe kubva muzana gore rino, kubva pahwakanga hwamboti hwa muna Mbudzi hwechikamu chimwe nechidimbu kubva muzana. Yakaveurawo fungidziro yekukura kwegore rinouya kusvika 1.7 muzana kubva pa1.9 muzana, asi yakachengeta 1.6 pa1.7 muzana.

BoE's rate-setters vakavhota 6-2 kuchengetedza Bank Rate pa 0.25 muzana, maererano nekufanotaura mune Reuters poll yezvehupfumi. Izvo zvaive zvakanyanya kuchekwa pane kuvharika kusingafungirwe 5-3 vhoti pamusangano weMonetary Policy Committee muna Chikumi.

Kubva ipapo mumwe wevakapokana, Kristin Forbes, akasiya bhanga guru.

VaMichael Saunders naIan McCafferty vakavhotera zvakare kuti vakwire nemakumi maviri neshanu. Asi mukuru weBoE Economist Andy Haldane, uyo akataura muna Chikumi kuti angangodzora kukwira kwemitengo muhafu yechipiri yegore rino, akagara nevazhinji.

Bhanga rakati rinogona kukwidza mitengo yekukwereta zvishoma kudarika zvinotarisirwa nevanoita mari mumakore matatu anotevera uye rakakurudzira kuti kukwira kwekutanga kungangouya mukati megore.

Asi bhanga reUS Citi rakati BoE ingangove yakanyanya kushushikana nezve njodzi yekusagadzikana kweBrexit pane zvayakaita neChina.

"Brexit downside njodzi yakakura kupfuura iyo MPC inogona kubvuma zviri pamutemo, izvo zvinoita kuti bhawa riwedzere kukwira kusvika 2019, semaonero edu," vanoongorora kubhanga vakadaro mune tsamba kune vatengi.

Citi akati kubuda muEU kwakatsetseka kwanga kuchiri mhedzisiro, saka BoE ingangokwidza mitengo kubva mukupera kwa2019, ichivaendesa ku2 muzana mukupera kwa2021.

Bhanga rakachengeta zvirongwa zvaro zvekutenga midziyo zvisina kushanduka neChina. Yatiwo chirongwa chekukweretesa mari kumabhanga chichapera sezvange zvakarongwa muna Kukadzi 2018.

Kupatsanurwa kuri kuita MPC pamusoro pezvinofanira kuita nemari yemubereko kunoburitsa dambudziko rakatarisana nebhanga guru renyika.

Kune rimwe divi, Britain yakadzivirira kuderera kwehupfumi mushure mesarudzo yereferendamu yekuvhundutsa muna Chikumi 2016 yekusiya EU, inflation iri kufamba pamusoro peiyo BoE's 2 percent target, uye kushaikwa kwemabasa kuri pamakumi mana emakore.

Panguva imwecheteyo, data yakaratidza kuti hupfumi hwakanga huchiwedzera zvishoma kubva muna 2012 muhafu yekutanga yegore rino, inflation yakadzikira zvisingatarisirwi zvakare munaJune uye kukura kwemuhoro hakuna simba.

Ongororo yakatevedzana yeBritain yekugadzira, kuvaka uye masevhisi zvikamu zvakaburitswa svondo rino zvakaratidza kuti hupfumi hwakaramba huri mugiya rakaderera muna Chikunguru.

Pamusoro pezvo, hurukuro dzeBrexit pakati peLondon neBrussels hadzina kufambira mberi, zvichikonzera kushushikana kuti kubuda kwakashata kubva mubloc muna 2019 kunogona kukanganisa hupfumi.

Mukupindura kunonoka kunorwadza gore rino, Bhanga rakacheka kufanotaura kwekukura kwemuhoro muna 2018 uye 2019 kusvika 3 uye 3.25 muzana, pasi nehafu muzana pagore rega rega.

BoE yakadzikira nechikamu chidiki fungidziro yayo yekukwira kwemitengo iyo yakaona iko zvino iri pasi pe2.6 muzana mukati megore mushure mekuwedzera kusvika pa3 muzana muna Gumiguru.

Kukwira kwemitengo yeBritain muna Chikumi kwakamira pa2.6 muzana uye fungidziro yeBoE yazvino inoona ichiramba iri pamusoro pe2.

Kubatsira kudzikamisa kudzvanywa kwesimba rekushandisa remumba, kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwakaonekwa kuchikura zvakanyanya kupfuura muBoE's May kufanotaura. Asi kudyara kungangove kushoma pane zvaimbotarisirwa muna 2018 na2019.

Carney akati mazinga ekudyara muna 2020 akaiswa kuti ave makumi maviri muzana mapoinzi pasi peiyo BoE fungidziro pamberi pevhoti yeBrexit.

Kuti tinya graphic: tmsnrt.rs/2eSYykb

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