Cameron anonongedza 'Brexit' asi ndeapi masimba aanoda kuti adzoserwe kubva kuBrussels?

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Sezvo mwaka wezvematongerwo enyika uri kutangazve muBritain, mutungamiri wehurumende, VaDavid Cameron, vazivisa kuti vakagadzirira kutsigira Britain kubuda muEU kunze kwekunge vawana shanduko muEurope inogutsa bato ravo uye ivo pachavo. Ndiyo yepedyo yaakauya kuzotsigira 'Brexit' senzira inogoneka kune chero hurumende yaanogona kutungamira mushure mesarudzo muna Chivabvu 2015.   

Kutyisidzirwa hakuna kunyorwa parekodhi asi kupfupisa kwakanyanya kwepepanhau reLondon kunosiya kusahadzika kushoma kuti ichi chikamu chegwaro remutungamiri weBritish rekumanikidza Jean-Claude Juncker, uye vatungamiriri venyika dzeEU.

Asi zvakare, David Cameron haanyore shanduko yaanoda kana shanduko chaiyo muhukama hweBritain neEU yaanofunga kuti inofanirwa kuti aende kunoshambadzira vhoti ya'Hongu' mureferendamu yake ya2017.

Kwasara makore matatu chete - kubwaira kweziso maererano nezvinononoka mutinhimira weEU parleys - zvinoshamisa chaizvo kuti mutungamiriri weBritain apinze remangwana renyika yake asina kuudza vamwe vake kana vanhu vake zvaanoda chaizvo.

Britain neEU hadzina huchenjeri kupfuura muna Ndira 2013 apo Cameron akazivisa kuti paizove ne "In-Out" mushure mekutaura patsva hukama hweBritain neEU kutanga pakusarudzwa kwake semutungamiri wenyika muna Chivabvu unotevera.

Hapana anoziva zvakabuda musarudzo iyoyo. Sarudzo dzepfungwa dzinowanzoisa bato reLabour pamberi asi mutungamiri waro, Ed Miliband, haana mukurumbira saDavid Cameron uye kuvandudzwa kwehupfumi muUK nekukura kwe3% uye 6% kushaikwa kwemabasa kwakasiyana nehuwandu husina kunaka hweeurozone uye zvinochema. nyaya yehupfumi muFrance, nyika yeBritain inoda kuzviyeresa.

Cameron nemutungamiri weUKIP, Nigel Farage, vari kuvimbisa kuita referendamu ukuwo mamwe masangano ezvematongerwo enyika - Labour, Liberal Democratic, Nationalists muScotland Wales neGreens - vachipokana nereferendamu muna 2017 yavanoti haidiwe kana kubatsira.

Vazhinji vanoona iyi Brexit plebiscite senguva ine ngozi muBritain umo manzwiro anopokana neEU akasimba uye anotsigirwa nevazhinji vekunze vezvenhau vezvenhau, vazhinji vari mubhizinesi, pamwe neruzhinji rwevanotonga Conservative MP.

Asi kunyange hazvo Cameron achiti nguva nenguva anovimbisa kuita referendamu yeIn-Out muna 2017 haasati anyora mabhindauko kana kudzosa masimba aanoda kubva kuBrussels.

Gurukota ravo reEurope, VaDavid Liddington, vakaudza Financial Times panofanira kunge paine 'shanduko yechibvumirano' asi zvakare haazotauri kuti shanduko yeChibvumirano ichi chii. Uyezve, vashoma kunyange muBritain vanogona kufungidzira Chibvumirano chitsva cheEU kuti chingoenderana neBritain panzvimbo pa2017, gore resarudzo dzemutungamiri weFrance, uye imwe iyo munyika dzakawanda inoda kuti referendamu igamuchirwe.

Vamwe vakaita sevaimbove munyori wekunze kuUK, Sir Malcolm Rifkind, vanoti mitemo yezvemagariro eEU inofanirwa kushandiswa kuBritain. Neimwe nzira chizvarwa chake chinoda kudzoreredza wachi kudzokera kuma1980s ekupedzisira, pamberi paMaatricht. Asi uturu hunopesana neEurope hwakadzika uye hwakawedzera kubva ipapo.

Chimwe chinodiwa ndechekuti Britain inogona kusarudza unilaterally kuti ndevapi vagari vanobva kune dzimwe nhengo dzeEU vanobvumidzwa kupinda muUK kuti vagare nekushanda. Izvi zvinoreva kupera kwerusununguko runa - rwekufamba kwezvinhu, capital, masevhisi uye vanhu - izvo zviri musimboti wekuvaka kweEurope kubva paChibvumirano cheRoma.

Poland yakajekesa kuti haizombofa yakabvuma chero shanduko yakadai, inoonekwa seinotungamirwa nevashandi vePoland muUK. Hukama ikozvino pakati peWarsaw neLondon hwanyanya kushata mumakumi emakore.

Asi kunyange hazvo izvi zvinoda huwandu muzvakataurwa nenhengo dzeparamende dzeConservative pamwe nevatori venhau veEU-havasati vamboiswa pamberi sechigaro chehurumende yeBritain naCameron kana makurukota ake.

Rimwe dambudziko nderekuti mamwe makurukota nenhengo dzeparamende dzakawanda dziri kuda kuti Britain ibude mudare reEuropean Court of Human Rights nekuti mitongo yayo - zvikuru pamusoro pekodzero dzemagandanga akavharirwa kana kubatwa nemhosva - inogumbura avo vanotenda kuti vatongi veBritain chete ndivo vanofanira kusarudza zvichaitika. kuvasungwa. Nhengo dzeparamende dzeTory neLabour dzakabatana kushoropodza mutongo weECHR wekuti mamwe mapoka evasungwa abvumidzwe kuvhota izvo zvinotenderwa kuSwitzerland nenyika dziri muEU kunyangwe zvisinganyanyoshandiswa.

Saka Euroscepticism muBritain haisi yeBrussels chete asi nezvekugara nekutonga kweECHR nevamwe vekuEurope vanogara nekushanda muUnited Kingdom.

Asi Britain ichiri kumirira kubva kumutungamiri wehurumende rondedzero chaiyo yeshanduko iyo EU inofanirwa kubvuma kuitira kuti itungamire Hungu mushandirapamwe mukukwikwidza kwake muna 2017.

Chokwadi Cameron anofanira kuyeuchidza vavhoti kuti akavavimbisa referendamu asi kuramba kwake kutaura chibvumirano chaari kuda kuwana chave kunyadzisa. Asi mukushandurwa kwakamisikidzwa kwetoni iye zvino ari kutaura kuti Brexit inogoneka. Haisati iri nzvimbo yake yepamutemo. Asi ari kugadzira mamiriro ezvinhu anoita kuti Britain ibve muEU kana isiri chokwadi, mukana wakasimba wekuti vanogadzira mitemo mune imwe hurumende nemabhizinesi vanofanirwa kukoshesa.

Denis MacShane aimbove gurukota reUK Europe. Bhuku rake, Brexit, ichabudiswa gare gare gore rino.

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