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Mhinduro: Mutambo waPutin ane njodzi muUkraine

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12 makore apfuura

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Isu tinoshandisa kusaina kwako kukupa zvirimo munzira dzawakabvumira uye kuvandudza manzwisisiro edu pamusoro pako. Unogona kuzvibvisa chero nguva.

Lough, Johane 4_0By John Lough (kufananidzwa), Shamwaridzana Shamwari, Russia uye Eurasia Chirongwa, Chatham House
Vladimir Putin achiri nhanho pamberi peMadokero kuUkraine, asi ari kutamba nemoto.

Varairidzi veKGB vakaudza mumwe wechidiki Vladimir Putin panguva yekudzidziswa kwake kuti aive 'nenjodzi shoma'. Vakazviona sezvisina kunaka, asi mubvunzurudzo yakabudiswa muna 2000, akayeuka maonero avo achidada.

Tichitarisa nemaitiro ake azvino, iwowo mafungiro anoramba ari chikamu chehunhu hwaPutin. Achisundwa nezvaanoona seakanyanya kukwirisa muUkraine, ari kutamba mutambo une njodzi huru, uyo unogona kusvetuka kubva mukudzoreka zviri nyore.

Kukurumidza kutorwa kweCrimea hakuna kuvhara kutsunga kwaPutin kuti Russia itonge kuumbwazve kweUkraine maererano nezvido zveRussia. Moscow inoda kuona Ukraine senyika isina kurongeka, yakatemerwa nyika ine masimba makuru akapihwa kumatunhu ayo, kusanganisira kugona kuumba hukama hwavo hwekunze.

Kana chiratidzo ichi chaizova chokwadi, chaizoparadza hurumende yepakati muKyiv uye kukanganisa hurumende yeUkraine. Izvo zvaizoitawo kuchengetedza nzvimbo yeUkraine maindasitiri kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kwakabatana nehupfumi hweRussia uye kudzivirira kubatana kwehupfumi hwenyika neEU.

Mumavhiki matatu apfuura, Moscow yanga ichishandisa mareti akawanda kumanikidza hurumende yeUkraine yenguva pamwe nevabatsiri vayo vekuMadokero kuti vabvume kuti Russia ine kiyi yemhinduro yekudzikamisa nyika.

Izvi zvinosanganisira kuwanda kwemauto emuganho, kutyisidzira kudzima gasi reUkraine uye, zvinenge zvechokwadi, zvakaitwa nemasangano ehungwaru eRussia kukonzeresa mhirizhonga mhiri kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweUkraine.

Maitiro aPutin anoratidza kuti anotenda kuti US neEU havana pfungwa yekudzikamisa Ukraine kana chishuwo chekuibvisa mune zvehupfumi.

Iyewo haaratidzi kukoshesa kutyisidzira kwezvirango zvakasimba zvehupfumi hwekumadokero kuRussia.

Nehungwaru, ari kutamba mutambo ane chivimbo. Anoziva kuti haagone kungotarisana nenyika dzekuMadokero pamusoro peUkraine. Pane kudaro, anofanirwa kuvasarudza kuti vatsigire hurongwa hweRussia hwekudzikamisa Ukraine uye kuve chikamu chemhinduro 'yakabatana' kudambudziko.

Kuwedzera kwekumanikidza kuUkraine kune chinangwa chekupfavisa hurumende dzekuMadokero pamberi pehurukuro dzemapato mana dzakarongwa muna Kubvumbi 17 kuGeneva. Aka kachange kari kekutanga kubva pakatanga dambudziko kuti vatungamiri veRussia, EU, US neUkraine vasangane pamwechete.

Stoking trouble kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kwenyika ingangovewo nzira yekukanganisa sarudzo yemutungamiri wenyika ichaitwa musi wa25 Chivabvu. Sarudzo dzakasununguka dzakaitwa munyika yose dzaizoisa mutungamiri akasarudzwa zviri pamutemo uye kupa pfungwa yekubatanidza nyika. Izvi hazvigari zvakanaka nekuedza kweMoscow 'kubatanidza' Ukraine.

Panhaurirano dzekuGeneva, Russia ingangokurudzira kuti paitwe hurongwa hwekuvandudza bumbiro remitemo nekukurumidza, ichipokana kuti hapana imwe nzira kutariswa mhirizhonga iri kuitika munzvimbo dzekumabvazuva uye kuwedzera kwenjodzi dzemhirizhonga.

Nepo Putin akabata makadhi akakosha, njodzi dzehurongwa hwake dzakakura.

Kutanga, akagadzira mufananidzo muRussia, wakasimwa nevezvenhau vehurumende, wevatauri veRussia vari munjodzi kumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweUkraine. Kana kutorwa kwezvivakwa zvehurumende nevatsigiri veRussia kunokonzera mhirizhonga, achange ari pasi pekumanikidzwa kupindira muchiuto. Ne Kyiv ikozvino ichivimbisa chiito chemauto kurwisa pro-Russian pfuti kumabvazuva, kusvika zvino zvisingafungidzike zviri kuitika: hondo pakati peRussia neUkraine.

Chechipiri, hurumende yeKyiv nenyika dzekuMadokero dzinogona kusabvumirana nezvikumbiro zveMoscow zvekumhanyisa kuvandudzwa kwebumbiro remitemo muUkraine. Nekuda kweizvozvo, Putin angangoda kuwedzera kuyedza kukanganisa kutonga kweKyiv munzvimbo dzakakosha dzemaindasitiri uye kuwedzera kukurumidza kutsvaga mhinduro. Angangozofanirawo kuita kutyisidzira kwake kuti abvise gasi reRussia kuUkraine nekuda kwekutadza kuvabhadhara, achiisa njodzi yekudzokorora kwedambudziko ra2009 apo vamwe vatengi veGazprom vekuEurope havana kuwana zvavainge vapihwa.

Chetatu, kuwedzera kuri kuita zvematongerwo enyika, hupfumi nemauto kuRussia kumanikidza Ukraine kunogona kudonhedza hurumende yenguva pfupi uye kuita kuti nyika iparare pasati patanga chirongwa chekuvandudza bumbiro remitemo.

Kudzorwa bongozozo chinhu chimwe. Kusadzoreka kusingadzorwi kwakatosiyana. Vatungamiriri vekuMadokero vanofanirwa kunzwisiswa kuti vari kubata nemutungamiri weRussia akatarisana nezvinangwa zvake muUkraine pane njodzi dziripo mukuzadzikisa.

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