Sangano reInstitute of Economic Affairs - nhengo yedu yeBritain inofunga - yakaburitsa itsva pepa rekuzivisa, rakanyorwa neMukuru weDzidzo weIEA Dr Stephen Davies naMuzvinafundo Syed Kamall, Director weIEA weChikoro uye Tsvagiridzo, akagara muEuropean Parliament's International Trade Committee kubva 2005-2019. Mhedziso huru yemushumo inosanganisira:
- Kutya kuri kukwira kuti tiri mujinga meHondo Yemashoko itsva;
- Covid-19 iri kumutsa kudzokororwa kukuru kwemutemo wedu wekunze. Pamwoyo weizvi hukama hwedu hunochinja neChina;
- Isu tinoisa panjodzi yekusanzwisisa zvinokurudzira zveChina nekuti fungidziro dzedu dzapfuura: kusiyana neUSSR China haitsvage hegemony;
- Asi rinoita nekuda kwekuzvifarira uye rinotsvaga kuve zvese zviri zviviri nyika yemuenzaniso kuti nyika dzichiri kusimukira dzitevedzere uye inotonga setter yemitemo mukutengeserana kwepasirese uye hurongwa hwemari;
- Zano rekubatana kunovaka kana kusununguka kwenyika harisi kuzoshanda - asi kutarisana kwechokwadi kwehukama hwesimba neChina kunogona kudhura mune hupfumi uye mune zvematongerwo enyika njodzi;
- Zvakadaro pane imwe nzira yekukonana kuri nyore uye kukwikwidza kwemauto;
- Tichafanira kudzora kutengeserana kwakashata uye kupindura zvakasimba kune zviito zvehurumende yeChina muXinjiang, Hong Kong uye nevavakidzani veAsia;
- Zviito izvi zvinofanirwa kuwedzerwa nechirongwa chekudyidzana pakati pevanhu vakazvimirira, masangano nemafemu munharaunda dzakasununguka nevamwe vavo muChina;
- Gadziriro yekukurudzira kuonana kwakarongeka padanho remasangano akazvimirira inogona kutungamirira kugadziridzo idzo vatongi vemazuva ano vachafanira kufambirana nadzo kana kuti kuwana kushoma kudzora.
"Chinese Puzzle" inopokana nenjodzi dzekuMadokero dzekutarisira hukama hwezvematongerwo enyika hune ngozi uye hunodhura hwehupfumi neChina.
Zvakadaro nhoroondo yeChina - yekugamuchira nekucherechedza shanduko dzinongoitika dzepasi-kumusoro uye nekudzikurudzira kuti dzienderere mberi nekudziisa muhurongwa hwemutemo - uye tsika yayo ye "kuchengetedza chiso" kana "mianzi" inoratidza kuti vezvematongerwo enyika vekuMadokero vanogona kunge vasinganzwisise zvinokurudzira China.
Nepo zano razvino rerusununguko rwepasi rose risisashande, isu hatifanire kuona kubata China sesarudzo yebhinari pakati pekudzivirira uye kunetsana. Kuwedzera hutongi hwejekerere muChina kwakabhadhara kune tariro yekuti misika pamwe nekubudirira zvinotungamira kune rusununguko rwakawanda. Hurongwa hwayo kuhuwandu hweUighur uye pamusoro peinodaidzwa kuti "Belt uye Road Initiative," pamwe nemaitiro ayo mukutanga kwedenda reCoronavirus, zvaita kuti vazhinji vekuMadokero vaone China kwete semubatsiri asi sekutyisidzira.
Nekudaro, zviitiko zveChina munharaunda yayo zvinogona kutsanangurwa neimwe nzira yekuzvidzivirira nekuda kwekutsunga kusazombotongwa nevekunze. Zvatiri kuona chimwe chinhu chakanyanya kujeka kupfuura zvirongwa zvehegemony yepasi rose. Pane makwikwi ekuva mucherechedzo kana nyika patani iyo vamwe vanotarisisa kutevedzera, kunyanya apo nyika dziri kusimukira mune zveupfumi dzine hanya. China zvakare inotsvaga kuve iyo inotonga setter mune yepasi rose yekutengesa uye yemari system.
Mukupindura, isu tichafanirwa kudzora kutengeserana kwakanyanya uye kupindura zvakasimba kune zviito zvehurumende yeChina muXinjiang, Hong Kong uye nevavakidzani veAsia. Zviito izvi zvinofanirwa kuwedzerwa nechirongwa chekudyidzana pakati pevanhu vakazvimirira, masangano nemafemu munharaunda dzakasununguka nevamwe vavo kuChina. Rudzi urwu rwekuita kwevanhu-kune-vanhu runogona kuramba ruchinzi rwusina njodzi pane kutarisana kwemauto uye, nekufamba kwenguva, mukana wekubudirira.
Gadziriro yekukurudzira kuonana kwakarongeka padanho remasangano akazvimirira inogona kutungamirira kugadziridzo idzo vatongi vemazuva ano vachafanira kufambirana nadzo kana kuti kuwana kushoma kudzora.
Dr Stephen Davies, Mukuru weDzidzo kuInstitute of Economic Affairs uye Purofesa Syed Kamall, Academic and Research Director kuIEA, vakati:
“Hurumende yeChina inofanirwa kutendwa painoti haitsvage hutongi hwejekerere, asi zvinangwa zvehurumende yeChina ndezvekuwana zvinhu, tekinoroji, uye misika yemakambani ekuChina.
"Izvi zvinogona kuita kuti hurumende yeChina ide kudzika mitemo nemitemo yenyika uye kupokana nekutonga kwakanaka kwemademocracies ekumadokero, asi kusiyana neSoviet Union munguva yeCold War haizotsvaga kuendesa kunze pfungwa dzayo.
"Izvi zvichaunza rudzi rwakasiyana rwedambudziko kupfuura Soviet Union munguva yeCold War kusvika 1989. Nyika dzekuMadokero dzakasununguka dzinofanira kuramba dzichipindura zvakasimba kune hurumende yeChina yechisimba uye kutyorwa kwekodzero dzevanhu, asi panguva imwe chete kutsvaga vanhu vakawanda-ku-vanhu kuonana kuti vabatsire kugadzirisa shanduko mukati meChina pachayo.
“Zvakakoshawo kusiyanisa zvakaitwa neChinese Communist Party nevanhu vekuChina pavanenge vachiratidza kushushikana nezviri kuitwa nehurumende yeChina.
"Mabviro eizvi inzira iyo shanduko yehupfumi hweChinese kubva kuma1980s yave ichigadzirwa zvakanyanya nekuita zvekudzika-kumusoro zvakazozivikanwa uye kugamuchirwa neCCP sekuvandudzwa kwepamusoro-pasi." |