Mishumo yekota inosimbisa kumwe kufambira mberi kwezvimiro pane zvinovandudzwa uye kuchengetedzeka kwekupihwa pamisika yemagetsi eEU

Misika yeEU gasi nemagetsi muchikamu chechitatu cha2024 yakaratidza kusimba mukuvimbisa kuchengetedzwa kwekuwanikwa, kubatsirwa kubva kune mamwe matanho akatorwa mumakore achangopfuura maererano nekusimba, kubatanidzwa kwakavandudzika pakati penyika dzeEU uye kuburitswa kwezvezvezvekuwanikwa, sekureva kwe mishumo mitsva yekota yemisika yese yakaburitswa nhasi. Tichitarisa pamisika kubva munaChikunguru kusvika Gunyana, mishumo inosimbisa misika yese yakaramba yakatsiga kune zvekuvhunduka kwekunze, yakasimbisa kuyerera kwemuganho uye kuchinjika kwemitengo, uye kuchengetedza mitengo mukutarisa. Kukura kwekuda kwakaramba kuri pakati nepakati kwemagetsi, nepo kuderedzwa kwekuda kwakaenderera kune gasi. 

The mushumo wemusika gasi inoratidza kuti misika yegesi yeEU yakaenderera mberi nekuchinja kwemaitiro kwakatanga muna 2022, mushure mekupinda kweRussia kuUkraine. Munguva yaChikunguru-Gunyana, kushandiswa kwegasi reEU kwakaramba kuchiwedzera, zvichiratidza zviratidzo zvekudzikama pamazinga akaderera zvakanyanya kupfuura pamberi pedambudziko rekupa 2022. Kutengeswa kwegasi kwakawira imwe 6% gore negore uye 8% maererano ne2^nd quarter. Kudiwa kwegasi mukugadzira magetsi kwakawedzera chibvumirano kunyangwe kudiwa kwakanyanya kwekutonhodzwa kwemagetsi panguva yekupisa kupfuura nguva yezhizha. Matanho ekuchengetera akaramba ari panhorondo yepamusoro - kusvika pachinangwa che90% muna Nyamavhuvhu, mwedzi miviri nehafu nguva yekupedzisira isati yasvika. Izvi zvakabatsira kuderedza kukwira kwemitengo. 

Mitengo yegasi reholesale yakaona kuwedzera zvine mwero muchikamu chekutanga chekota, vachitangazve kudzikira kwavo munaGunyana. Mitengo yezvitoro yakaramba iri pakuderera kwegore negore, asi yakatanga kukwira zvishoma nezvishoma tichienzanisa nekota yapfuura. Mutengo wepakati pakati peEuropean gasi hubs uye misika yeAsia wakawedzera kuwedzera, nekudaro ichikwezva zvakawanda zveLNG zvinotakura kuenda kuAsia. Izvi zvakakonzera kudzikira kwekutenga kunze kwenyika kweLNG uye kuwedzera kwegasi repombi muEurope yekupinza gasi musanganiswa mukota - inoda kusvika hafu yakabva kuNorway. 

The mushumo wemusika wemagetsi inotaridza kuenderera mberi kuenderera mberi mukugadzirwa kwemagetsi anogona kudzokororwa, nezvikamu zverekodhi (47%) mumusanganiswa wemagetsi. Tsananguro iyi inocherekedza kuwedzera kukuru kunyanya musimba remagetsi ezuva, kuderera kwakawedzera kwezvikamu zvekugadzirwa kwemagetsi efossil uye kuenderera mberi kwegore negore kuderera kwemitengo yemagetsi mumisika yemisika neyokutengesa, ukuwo kukura kwekuda kwakaramba kuri pakati nepakati.

Chizvarwa cheSolar chakarova rekodhi yakakwira mukota yechitatu, kusvika pa87 TWh. Kugadzirwa kwezuva kwakakwira ne23% (+16 TWh) uye kugadzirwa kwemhepo kubva kumahombekombe kwakawedzera ne21% (+2 TWh). Zvigadzirwa zveHydropower zvakavandudza kubuda kwazvo ne13% (+9 TWh), ukuwo mhepo yemugungwa yakakwira ne2% (+1 TWh). Yekuwedzera yakaiswa simba yakatsigira mazinga epamusoro ezvezvinogonesa kugadzirwa mukota.

Kugadzirwa kwemafuta efossil kwakaderera munhoroondo pa165 TWh muQ3 2024. Fossil mafuta egore negore akadzikira ne11% muQ3 2024, achitsigirwa nekugadzirwa kunoramba kuripo uye kudiwa kuri pakati nepakati. Pakazara, chizvarwa chemarasha chakadonha ne13% (-9 TWh), uye chizvarwa chegasi chakadonha ne14% (-13 TWh). Kubuda kwenyukireya kwakakwira ne8% (+11 TWh) muQ3 2024. 

Mitengo yemagetsi ekutengesa nekutengesa yakaramba ichidzika kudarika panguva imwe chete muna 2023. European Power Benchmark yakasvika 78 €/MWh muQ3 2024, 8% yakaderera gore negore, ukuwo mitengo yemagetsi ekutengesa kudzimba mumaguta makuru eEU pasi ne6% gore-pa-gore (241 €/MWh). 

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