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Kuburitsa Iyo Paradox: Biden's LNG Policy uye Impact yayo paGlobal Climate uye Geopolitics.

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Isu tinoshandisa kusaina kwako kukupa zvirimo munzira dzawakabvumira uye kuvandudza manzwisisiro edu pamusoro pako. Unogona kuzvibvisa chero nguva.

Sarudzo yeMutungamiriri wenyika, VaJoe Biden, yekumisa kubvumidza zvibvumirano zvezvivakwa zvitsva zvegasi (LNG) muUnited States yanga iri nyaya yekushoropodzwa kwakapararira muEurope. Kutengeswa kweAmerican LNG kweAmerica kwakakosha kwakakosha kumusanganiswa wesimba reEurope - anonyora Charlie Weimers MEP.

Kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kuEurope kuri pamusoro pe140% kubva pakapinda Russia muUkraine, uye US yakatungamira zvikamu zviviri muzvitatu zveLNG yayo kunze kwenyika kumusika weEurope.

Kutsoropodza danho reMutungamiri Biden mumavhiki achangopfuura kwakanangana nezvematongerwo enyika - kumisa LNG kunotyisidzira kuchengetedzeka kwesimba reEurope: zvinogona kumanikidza dzimwe nyika kuti dzidzokere kumagetsi eRussia uye inorambidza kupihwa, zvichiita kuti mutengo wemangwana uwedzere.

Nekudaro, zvishoma zvinokurukurwa ndezvekuti sarudzo iyi, zvinoshamisa, inokanganisa kuedza kwepasirese kwezvakatipoteredza. Izvi zvine basa, nekuti chikonzero chese chekuti US 'imbomira' pakupa mvumo yaive yekuti mamiriro ekunze anofanirwa kukosheswa, kunyangwe pamberi pezvinhu zvakakosha sekuchengetedza pasi rose uye kugadzira mabasa. Dambudziko nderekuti iyo Administration's yezvakatipoteredza kesi haimiri pakuongororwa kwekutanga.

Iwo marasha akanyanya kuipa kune nharaunda kupfuura LNG isiri kupokana. Ongororo yakadzama yeHupenyu Cycle Analysis (LCA) kubva kuUS 'yake National Energy Technology Lab muna 2019 yakaratidza kuti US LNG inotengeswa kunze kwemisika yeEurope neAsia yaizoderedza zvakanyanya kutenderera kwehupenyu kuburitswa kwegreenhouse gasi kana ichienzaniswa nekushandiswa kwemarasha. Iyo LCA yakatevedzerawo kuburitswa kweRussia gasi rechisikigo. Zvekare, US LNG kutumira kunze kwenyika kwaive kwakachena zvakanyanya.

Izvi zvinoita kuti danho reAmerica rinyanye kushamisa, uye nekukatyamadza kunyangwe, sezvo chaiyo yepakati-temu mhedzisiro yesarudzo yeUS ichave yekuti kugadzirwa kwemarasha kunowedzera uye kutengeswa kwegasi rechisikigo kuRussia kuEurope kunowedzera. IUS inogona kuwedzera kana kutangazve kugadzirwa kwemarasha epamba kuti isangane negevha rekudiwa rakakonzerwa nekumira kwekuwedzera kweLNG. Ichi chisarudzo hachizove chipo cheKutonga: musika uchachida, uye vakuru venzvimbo uye vehurumende vachaita sarudzo ine musoro yekuitevera.

Saizvozvo, misika yeAsia iyo US parizvino inopa LNG haina kuzara nesarudzo yekuzadza iyo isingaite yekuwedzera kudiwa mune ramangwana. Idzo sarudzo dziripo hadzina hushamwari hwemamiriro ekunze: kugadzirwa kwemarasha epamba kunoramba kwakakwira kumaodzanyemba nekumaodzanyemba kwakadziva kumabvazuva kweAsia uye kunogona kukwidziridzwa zviri nyore. China zvakare inonyanya kutengesa marasha kunze kwenyika uye pasina mubvunzo yaizosvetukira pamukana wekutora imwe yemusika weAmerica.

Uye zvakadini neEurope? Iyo Green Deal, kune zvese zvipikirwa zvayo, ichiri kuunza arcadia inofambiswa nezuva, mhepo uye masaisai. Zvinenge zvisina kudaro panguva iyo mhedzisiro yekumbomira kweLNG ichatanga - zvakanaka mukati meiyo inotevera EU Commission neParamende.

Tichaendepi? Vamwe, pamwe, kumarasha - Poland neGermany, semuenzaniso, kumarasha eGermany. Vamwe vanogona kutarisa kumabvazuva zvakare, zvisinei nenjodzi dzese (kusanganisira yakakwira GHG emissions). Kunyangwe gasi reQatari richikwanisa kuwedzera kuwanikwa, harina kunyanya kunakidza mutengesi kana richienzaniswa neRussia, yakapihwa rutsigiro rwemari yeHamas neMuslim Brotherhood. Uyezve, njodzi uye mutengo une chekuita nekutakura kuburikidza neGungwa Dzvuku hazvigone kudzikama mumakore anotevera.

Funga nezvezviitiko izvi: kukwira kwehutsi sechinyakare, mafuta akasviba anofambiswazve akasanganiswa neAllies achangobva kuvimba nemarasha kubva kuChina, kana gasi kubva kuRussia. Zviri pachena kuti mamiriro ekunze eLNG uye iyo geopolitical kesi iri, iko iko, yakabatana.

Dzimwe sarudzo dzemitemo - dzakawanda, muchokwadi - dzakanyanya kutonga pamusoro pemakwikwi emhedzisiro. Imwe nzira yekuita inogona kubatsira zvakatipoteredza, asi inogona kuderedza kukura kwehupfumi; imwe inogona kuva yakakosha kune kuchengetedzwa kwenyika asi njodzi dzinosimudza utsi.

Sarudzo yeMutungamiri Biden yekuvharisa remangwana LNG mvumo haiwire muchikamu ichi. Ihwo hupfumi hwakashata, husina kunaka kune chengetedzo, uye huchasimudza hutsi hwepasi rose. Iko hakuna kutengeserana kunobatsira kutsiva iyo yakaipa mhedzisiro inowira kuAmerica nevanodyidzana nayo muEurope neAsia.

Europe, haifanirwe kunyengedzwa nekusimbirira kweUS kuti iyi idanho rinoenderana nemamiriro ekunze. Sainzi, yakasanganiswa neicho chokwadi chemusika, haitsigire chirevo ichocho. Kana mutemo ukawedzera kuburitsa, kukanganisa mibatanidzwa, uye kukuvadza kuchengetedzwa kwesimba, kupokana iyo ndiyo yega sarudzo ine musoro.

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