Kutengesa kweGungwa Dzvuku Nhamo Inoita Kuti Russian Aluminium Ban Idea Itonyanya Kukuvadza Kune EU Economy.

Dambudziko remauto reGungwa Dzvuku iro riri kutokanganisa nzira dzekufambisa dzepasirese, kukwidza nguva dzekutakura uye mitengo mumaketani ekugadzira inogona kunge iri "black swan" - chiitiko chisingatarisirwe chine zvinokonzeresa pasi rose. Izvo zvakatokonzera kukanganisa kukuru kwekutengesa kwevagadziri veEU uye, pamwe chete nezvirango zviri kuuya zvichipokana neRussia aluminium, yakagadzirira kugadziridzazve maindasitiri eEuropean dynamics.

Kuvhiringika mune imwe yenzira dzekufambisa dzakabatikana zvikuru pasi rose, dzinosvika zvikamu gumi nezviviri kubva muzana zvemakoteni epasi rose zvakonzera kuti nguva dzekufambisa dziwedzere uye mitengo - imwe nzira yakatenderedza Africa inowedzera mazuva angangoita gumi ekufamba kwenguva - uye kuwedzera kusagadzikana mune zvekushandisa. KuEurope, izvi zvinoshandura kunonoka kukuru uye mari yekuwedzera yekutenga kwezvinhu zvakakosha - kubva kumafuta kuenda kualuminium. Mamiriro edambudziko iri anoratidzawo kuti rinogona kunge riine simba renguva refu, zvichida kuti pave nekugadziriswa kwehungwaru mukutonga kwekutengesa.

Sezvo Europe ichinetsana neiyo Gungwa Dzvuku Logistics dambudziko uye tarisiro yezvirango paRussian primary aluminium, matanho ehupfumi hwayo akakwira. Kusangana kwezviitiko uku kwagadzirira kugadzirisa mamiriro eindasitiri, zvine chekuita nekukwira kwemitengo, kugadzirwa, nemabasa. Matambudziko ezvekutengesa akatomanikidza vanofarira veTesla, Suzuki neVolvo kumisa masangano avo eEuropean. Kuvhiringika kwezvinhu uye kukwira kwemitengo yekutakura midziyo kwakaiswa kukanganisa mazana emamwe mabhizinesi, kunyanya muzvikamu zvekutengesa, neSweden IKEA neUnited Kingdom Inotevera yambiro yekunonoka kunonoka mukutakura zvinhu.

Musika wealuminium muEurope kunyanya unoratidza zviratidzo zvekutambudzika, zvinoratidzwa nekukwira kwekutanga kwealuminium premiums muRotterdam iyo yakasimuka ne10-15% kubva pakutanga kwaDecember mushure mekuderera kwenguva refu. Kuwedzera uku, mhinduro yakananga kugovera kusavimbika uye kuwedzera kudiwa, kunosimbisa kunzwisiswa kwemusika. Chiri kuomesa nyaya iyi kuyedza kuenderera mberi kwekutemera zvirango paaluminium yeRussia. Kunyange kufona kwakadzokororwa nevagadziri vemitemo veEU uye nyanzvi dzezvirango kuti vadzivise kurambidzwa kwealuminium-yakagadzirwa neRussia sechinhu chakakosha chemari yekunze kwenyika kusvika parizvino yakavharwa, vanoramba vari patafura se "yekupedzisira sarudzo".

Sekureva kwe ING Funga, kukanganiswa kutsva kwekutakura kwaisagona kuuya panguva yakaipisisa sezvo kugadzirwa kwealuminium kweEuropean Union parizvino kwakadzikira muzana rino. Nepo kushandiswa kwealuminium muEU kwakakwira nezvikamu gumi nezvitatu kubva muzana kubva muna 13, huwandu hwekugadzira panguva imwe cheteyo hwakadzikira nezvikamu zviviri muzvitatu - kubva pamamiriyoni matatu ematoni kusvika pasi pemiriyoni imwe chete yematani. Zvikonzero zvikuru zvekuderera kunoshamisa uku kwaive kukwira kwemagetsi nemitengo yevashandi, pamwe nekukwira kwemitengo yezvakatipoteredza. Pamusoro pezvo, kukura kwemitengo yesimba mushure mekutanga kwemhirizhonga muUkraine mukutanga kwa2000 kwakawedzera kudzvanya miganho yevagadziri, kunyanya kune simba-sensitive simbi sealuminium.

Hazvina maturo kutaura, matambudziko maviri edambudziko reGungwa Dzvuku uye zvingangoita zvekuRussia zvirango zvealuminium zvinogona kukanganisa hupfumi hweEurope. Kukwira kwemitengo yealuminium kunobatsira mukukwira kwemitengo, sezvo maindasitiri achinetsekana nekuwedzera mari yekugadzira. Mamiriro ezvinhu aya anogona zvakare kukonzeresa kudzikira kwemabasa emaindasitiri, zvichikanganisa mabasa uye kukura kwehupfumi izvo zvave kutomira padanho rekuderera kwehupfumi muEuropean Union.

Sarudzo yekutemera zvimwe zvirango paaluminium yeRussia izere nekuoma. Hurumende dzeEurope dzinofanirwa kuenzanisa njodzi dzehupfumi nemaonero ezvematongerwo enyika, mumamiriro ezvinhu apo hupfumi hwavo hwezvematongerwo enyika hwakatotambanudzwa uye Russia ichiri mutsigiri mukuru wealuminium kumusika weEU, kunyanya mhando yemhando yepamusoro uye yakaderera-kabhoni inodiwa kune eco-supply cheni.

Tichifunga nezvezvirango zve2018 paRusal, tinoyeuchidzwa nezvekusagadzikana kwemusika mukupindura kunetsana kwezvematongerwo enyika. Zvirango zvisina kufungidzirwa zvakakonzera kukwira kwemutengo wepasi rose uye kukanganisa kwekupa, zvichikanganisa zvakanyanya maindasitiri eEurope. Nhasi, mukana wezvirango zvitsva paaluminium yeRussia zvinounza kushushikana kwakafanana pamberi, nekuomesera kwazvinoita kune kugadzikana kwekupa uye mutengo zvimiro.

Mukutarisana nematambudziko aya, nzira yeEurope yekuenda mberi inoda kusimba kwehunyanzvi. Vagadziri vemitemo uye vatungamiriri vemaindasitiri vanofanirwa kushandirapamwe kuti vafambise nguva dzinonetsa, kuenzanisa zvidikanwi zvehupfumi zvepakarepo neyakakura geopolitical uye kusimudzira zvinangwa. Mwedzi iri kuuya ichave yakakosha mukuumba kwete chete musika wealuminium, asi yakafaranuka yehupfumi trajectory yekondinendi.

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