Europe pamharadzano dzenzira: Batanidza kana kusiiwa?

Uye ikoko tinayo - iyo yakawanda-inotarisirwa NATO 2025 Summit yaswedera pedyo. Mushure mekusawirirana kwenguva refu pakati pevatungamiriri veEU nehutungamiriri hwazvino hweUS, chibvumirano chakazoitwa: nyika dzenhengo dzeNATO dzichapa 5% yeGDP yavo kumashandisirwo edziviriro - ne3.5% yakagoverwa kudzivirira kwekutanga, uye imwe 1.5% yakanangidzirwa kune zvakakosha zvivakwa uye nzira dzekudzivirira dzemazuva ano, kusanganisira cybersecurity, anonyora Dr Helena Ivanov, Associate Fellow, The Henry Jackson Society,

Mutungamiri Trump vakabuda vachifara, vachizivisa kuti United States inoramba yakazvipira kuChinyorwa 5 - iyo yekutanga NATO musimboti wekuti kurwiswa kwenhengo imwe kurwisa vese. ² Chirevo ichi chakanangana nekushushikana kuri kuwedzera mumaguta mazhinji eEurope nezvekuderera kwezvivimbiso zvekuchengetedza kweAmerica. Nekudaro, kuzvipira kwakauya necaveat: zvinoita sekunge kune dzimwe nhengo dzeNATO dzinosangana ne5% yekushandisa chinangwa.³

Nechepamusoro, Musangano uyu ungangoita kunge wakaunza mhedzisiro mbiri dzaitarisirwa nevakawanda - kuzvipira patsva mukudzivirira pamwe chete, uye chisungo chakakomba chekuwedzera mari yemauto. Asi kukwenya pasi pepamusoro, uye zvinova pachena kuti kusawirirana kunoramba kuri - uye kunogona kuwedzera zvakanyanya.

Nhengo zhinji dzeNATO dzinoramba dzisina kugadzikana pamusoro pemaitiro aPresident Trump ezvekune dzimwe nyika - nzira yanga ichiratidzwa mukusanzwisisana kwavo kuhondo yekuUkraine uye kunetsana kuMiddle East. Kusafungira kwake, uye hukama hunoonekwa hwevane masimba ane masimba, hunoramba huchibvisa kuvimba. Kunyangwe paine chitsidzo chekushandisa mari zviri pamutemo, kubvumirana kwezvematongerwo enyika kuseri kwayo kunozununguka. Spain yakaramba zvachose kutsigira chinangwa che5%, Slovakia inoramba ichizengurira, uye hupfumi hukuru hwakati wandei - kunyanya France, Belgium neItari - hazviite kusangana nazvo pasina kukanganisa kukuru kwezvematongerwo enyika nehupfumi. ⁴ Kuti izvi zvingakonzeresa sei kubva kuWashington zvinoramba zvichionekwa.

Uyezve, iyo Summit haina kugadzirisa nyaya inokakavara yakatarisana nemubatanidzwa: hondo muUkraine. Kunyange Mutungamiri VaTrump vakasangana neMutungamiri Zelensky kumucheto, pakanga paine zvishoma munzira yekudyidzana pakati peUS neEurope. Pasara pasina kubvumirana kwakajeka pakubata neRussia kana kuti kutsigirwa kwenguva refu kweUkraine kunofanirwa kuumbwa sei. ⁵ Vatungamiriri vazhinji vekuEurope vanoramba vakangwarira chimiro chaTrump chinodziya chisina kujairika chakanangana neMutungamiri Putin - zvichisimudza kumwe kusahadzika nezvekubatana kweramangwana remubatanidzwa.

Uku kushaikwa kwekujeka uye kubatana kunowedzerwa nekusavimbana kwakadzama uko zvino kunoratidzira hukama hwepakati peAtlantic. Kunyange vavengi vakaita seRussia neChina vakagadzirira kushandisa chero chiratidzo chekuparadzanisa, Europe inotarisanawo nekutyisidzirwa kwemukati. Mukati meEU, nyika dzakaita seHungary dzinoramba dzichipikisa pachena mitemo yakafanana, ichinetesa kugona kweMubatanidzwa kuunza hukama hwakabatana. Mukati, polarization iri kukura munharaunda yese, ichityisidzira kubatana kwedemokrasi uye kugadzikana kubva mukati.

Saka nepo NATO Summit yakaburitsa misoro yekufambira mberi, chingave chikanganiso kuiona senge shanduko. Zvakanakisisa, chaive chigamba chechinguvana pamusoro pemutsara wekutadza unowedzera.

Sekupokana kuri kuuya kweHenry Jackson Society, Europe inofanirwa kutora nguva ino kuronga nzira nyowani. Kubatana kukuru kwakakosha - uye kuwedzera kwekushandisa kwekudzivirira chikamu chakakosha cheiyo equation. Asi zvinopfuura mari zvinodiwa. Europe inofanirwawo kuve nekuzvimiririra, isingatsamiri pakufarira kweWhite House - kunyanya kana kunaka ikoko kuchiita sekune mamiriro uye kusagadzikana.

Kuti zvidaro, mushumo wedu unoburitsa nzira yekusimba kweEurope. Isu tinopokana kuti nyika dzese dzeEU dzinofanirwa kunanga hushoma hwe3% yeGDP yekudzivirira. Izvi hazvingo simbisa kuchengetedzwa kweEuropean zvivakwa, asi zvinomutsa maindasitiri epamba uye kuwedzera kuvimbika kwegeopolitical. Kuvandudzwa kwemaitiro kunofanirwa kufambirana nekushandiswa kwemari iyi - kusanganisira kugadzirwa kweNhume Yedziviriro yeEU kuronga zano padanho repamusoro, uye kugadzwa kweEuropean Defence Board kugadzirisa kutenga nekuita sarudzo.

Iyo NATO Summit inogona kunge yakaunza vimbiso yenguva pfupi, asi haina kugadzirisa nyaya iripo: kusasimba kwehukama pakati peWashington neBrussels. Parizvino, kugadzikana kunoenderana nekuti nhengo dzeNATO dzinochengeta Mutungamiri agutsikana - kashoma hwaro hunosimbisa hwekuronga kwekuchengetedza kwenguva refu. Europe haichakwanisa kumirira zvakangoita dambudziko rinotevera. Inofanirwa kuita - kuvaka hunyanzvi hwayo, kusimbisa kwayo gwara, uye kuve mutambi wekuchengetedza mune yayo yega.

1 https://www.reuters.com/world/leaders-gather-nato-summit-trump-brokered-israel-iran-ceasefire-holds-2025-06-25/

2 https://www.reuters.com/world/leaders-gather-nato-summit-trump-brokered-israel-iran-ceasefire-holds-2025-06-25/

3 https://www.npr.org/2025/06/26/nx-s1-5445845/trump-nato-summit

4 https://www.npr.org/2025/06/26/nx-s1-5445845/trump-nato-summit

5 https://www.reuters.com/world/leaders-gather-nato-summit-trump-brokered-israel-iran-ceasefire-holds-2025-06-25/

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