Nekutadza kugutsa Article 3, Britain inoisa Europe panjodzi

The munyori wezvakaitika kare Neill Ferguson mumwe wenhamba yevaongorori vanotenda kuti zvinogoneka, kunyangwe Zvinonzwisisika, kuti Vladimir Putin (mufananidzo) ichaenda kuBaltics kuti iedze Chinyorwa 5. Dzimwe nguva inonzi 'dombo rekona' remubatanidzwa weNATO, Chinyorwa chinoti kurwiswa kwenhengo imwe kuchaonekwa sekurwisa vese. Kamwe chete iyo yakakumbirwa - apo ndege mbiri dzakarovera muTwin Towers musi wa11 Gunyana, 2001 - asi zvino, kurwiswa kwaiva kune nhengo yakasimba yemubatanidzwa, uyo ane chido uye kukwanisa kupindura kana pasina rubatsiro kwakanga kusina mubvunzo, anonyora Harry Readhead, mutungamiriri weSonder London.

Zvino, zvinhu zvinoratidzika zvishoma. Hondo yeUkraine inogona kunge iri kuuya kusvika kumagumo kana kuti zvingasava. Asi chero zvakadaro, basa rekuchengetedza runyararo muUkraine, uye kupindura kana Putin apinda muBaltics, ikozvino inowira zvakanyanya kunhengo dzeEuropean dzemubatanidzwa weNATO. Zvirinani, tichipihwa shanduko yehutongi hweUS huripo, izvi ndizvo zvatinofanira kufunga. Asi kupa vimbiso iyoyo kunenge kwave pedyo nekusaita kana nyika dzeEurope dzikashaya simba remauto rekupindura hutsinye hweRussia. It yakashumwa nguva pfupi yadarika kuti Britain haingotamburi chete kuita chikamu chayo mumhinduro yakabatana yeNATO kana Chinyorwa 5 chikakumbirwa. Aisatombokwanisa kuzvidzivirira paive nyika ine utsinye kurwisa.

Following kubvunza kwenguva refu, Komisheni yeDziviriro yeCommons yakati hurumende iripo iri kufamba ne "glacial" pakatarisana nekutyisidzirwa kutsva uye kwechokwadi kubva kuRussia neChina. Chokwadi, Muzvinafundo Peter Roberts weRoyal United Services Institute akaudza Nhengo dzeParamende kuti Britain yakanga yazviita 'pedyo pasina chinhu' maererano nekudzivirira kwemhepo uye missile panzvimbo, uye kuti, kana pakaitika kurwisa, hupenyu hucharasika, uye zvigadziro zvakakosha - hutano, chikafu, mvura, simba - zvingakundikana. Nguva refu yakashandiswa kuchengetedzwa kweUnited States uye iyo inonzi mugove werunyararo, Britain yakakanganwa chii - kupeta musoro werwiyo naD: Ream - zvinhu zvinogona kuramba zvichiwedzera kuipa. Pakati pemhedziso kwaiva kuti Britain 'yainyanya kutsamira pakugona kweUS'; kuti 'inofanira kuita ... mazano ane chinangwa chekuona kuti UK iri nani [NATO] Ally'; uye kuti 'kushaikwa kwekuwanda kweBritain [kureva, mauto nemidziyo] kuri kuramba hutungamiri hwayo muNATO.' Imwe nzira yekuisa iyi: Europe iri panjodzi huru nekuti Britain haina simba.

Kudzivirirwa kwakabatana kweNATO kunoda, zvishoma, kuti nhengo dzayo dzizadzise Chinyorwa 3. Britain iri kukundikana mune izvi. Saka kunyangwe ingi yakawanda yakadururwa ichibvunza kuti chii chingaitika kana Putin akaedza 'kuyambuka muganhu kufamba' muBaltics - toti, achizviti ndiye. kudzivirira madzinza eRussia - mibvunzo yakadai inoita seinozvipindura kubva kuBritish maonero kana isingakwanisi kupindura zvehondo. Uye hazvigoneke kuti Russia ingave yakashinga: iye, shure kwezvose, akabata mauto echiuto muganhu wePoland, sent drones muDenmark, kutyisidzira UK mvura, masatelliti akabatikana 'vhiki nevhiki' hwaro, uye akapinzwa munhevedzano yenyaya dzekusora - in Rativhiya, Ositiriya, Britain, uye kumwewo. Sir John Sawers, aimbova mukuru weMI6, akazvitaura seizvi: "Kutyisidzira kukuru kwekudzivirira hakuna mubvunzo kuRussia. Ndivo vanofanira kunge vari kutarisa kwekudzivirirwa kwenyika yedu. Vane utsinye. Dzimwe nguva vanogona kushanda zvakanyanya. Vanogona kuita zvechisimba zvikuru. Vanogona kushandisa propaganda, hondo yehybrid, uye cyber kurwisa. "

Hurukuro pamusoro pekubatana kwedziviriro pakati peBritain neEuropean Union dzakaputsika svondo rapfuura zvichitevera kusawirirana pamusoro penyaya iyi Mipiro yemari yeUK. Uye kunyangwe zvichiita sezvingaite kuti mapato maviri aya asvitse chibvumirano munguva pfupi iri kutevera, vakuru vevaviri vakati mhedzisiro inogona kunge ishoma pane yakatanga kuratidzwa apo Mutungamiriri weBritain, Sir Keir Starmer neMutungamiriri weKomisheni, Ursula von der Leyen vakabvumirana kushanda muna Chivabvu. Senyika huru uye, pamwe chete neFrance neGermany, imwe yeEurope inonzi E3 masimba, Britain haifaniri kuisa pangozi kuva chisungo chisina simba mumubatanidzwa panguva yeguva uye kuwedzera kwekutyisidzira. General Sir Richard Barrons, aimbove mutungamiriri weUK's Joint Forces Command uye munyori-mubatanidzwa weStrategic Defense Ongororo, anotenda zvakakosha kuti Russia izive kuti ikatyora Chinyorwa 5, ichaita. 'kubhadharwa zvakapetwa kagumi'. Kunze kwekunge Britain yawana mafambiro, izvo zvinoita sezvisingaite.

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